Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a high near 28–29°C for June 16 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity typical of the early summer monsoon transition. These conditions, reinforced by seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures overall but with normal-to-below-normal rainfall, suppress daytime maxima through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from showers. Traders assign the tightest probabilities to 28–29°C because model runs show only modest variability in steering flows and moisture convergence; a slight eastward shift in any disturbance or delayed onset of rain could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 30°C, while heavier or earlier precipitation would favor the lower end of the range. Historical June climatology places average highs around 30–31°C, making current model consensus the key near-term driver of market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
30°C 19%
27°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
31%
29°C
36%
30°C
19%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
30°C 19%
27°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
23°C or below
$168 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$303 Vol.
1%
26°C
$615 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,340 Vol.
6%
28°C
$276 Vol.
31%
29°C
$492 Vol.
36%
30°C
$250 Vol.
19%
31°C
$473 Vol.
4%
32°C
$866 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a high near 28–29°C for June 16 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity typical of the early summer monsoon transition. These conditions, reinforced by seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures overall but with normal-to-below-normal rainfall, suppress daytime maxima through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from showers. Traders assign the tightest probabilities to 28–29°C because model runs show only modest variability in steering flows and moisture convergence; a slight eastward shift in any disturbance or delayed onset of rain could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 30°C, while heavier or earlier precipitation would favor the lower end of the range. Historical June climatology places average highs around 30–31°C, making current model consensus the key near-term driver of market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$4,736Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a high near 28–29°C for June 16 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity typical of the early summer monsoon transition. These conditions, reinforced by seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures overall but with normal-to-below-normal rainfall, suppress daytime maxima through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from showers. Traders assign the tightest probabilities to 28–29°C because model runs show only modest variability in steering flows and moisture convergence; a slight eastward shift in any disturbance or delayed onset of rain could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 30°C, while heavier or earlier precipitation would favor the lower end of the range. Historical June climatology places average highs around 30–31°C, making current model consensus the key near-term driver of market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,736Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a high near 28–29°C for June 16 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity typical of the early summer monsoon transition. These conditions, reinforced by seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures overall but with normal-to-below-normal rainfall, suppress daytime maxima through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from showers. Traders assign the tightest probabilities to 28–29°C because model runs show only modest variability in steering flows and moisture convergence; a slight eastward shift in any disturbance or delayed onset of rain could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 30°C, while heavier or earlier precipitation would favor the lower end of the range. Historical June climatology places average highs around 30–31°C, making current model consensus the key near-term driver of market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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