Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely daily maximum near 34°C in Chongqing on June 6, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that promote clear skies and daytime heating. Historical June averages hover around 28–32°C, with occasional spikes above 35°C when southerly flows enhance warmth, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probability (36.5%) to 35°C or above. Uncertainty in exact peak temperatures stems from variable moisture levels and potential afternoon convection, which can cap highs by a degree or two; model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 33–35°C, with minimal chance of cooler outcomes given the seasonal baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 6?
35°C or higher 39%
34°C 30%
33°C 19%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
19%
34°C
30%
35°C or higher
39%
35°C or higher 39%
34°C 30%
33°C 19%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
19%
34°C
30%
35°C or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely daily maximum near 34°C in Chongqing on June 6, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that promote clear skies and daytime heating. Historical June averages hover around 28–32°C, with occasional spikes above 35°C when southerly flows enhance warmth, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probability (36.5%) to 35°C or above. Uncertainty in exact peak temperatures stems from variable moisture levels and potential afternoon convection, which can cap highs by a degree or two; model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 33–35°C, with minimal chance of cooler outcomes given the seasonal baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes