Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and Trip.com indicate overcast conditions and possible light precipitation on June 16, 2026, which are suppressing daytime heating and positioning the daily maximum near 29–30°C—aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C or below (48.5%) and 28°C (25.5%). Chengdu's subtropical climate typically sees June highs averaging 29–31°C amid rising humidity and monsoon influences, but persistent cloud cover and regional atmospheric patterns have tempered recent model runs, reducing the implied probability of 30°C+ outcomes to under 9% combined. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official maximum readings, with traders monitoring updated NMC or local station data ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
27°C o menos 49%
28°C 27%
29°C 12%
30°C 3.5%
$11,343 Vol.
$11,343 Vol.
27°C o menos
49%
28°C
27%
29°C
12%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
27°C o menos 49%
28°C 27%
29°C 12%
30°C 3.5%
$11,343 Vol.
$11,343 Vol.
27°C o menos
49%
28°C
27%
29°C
12%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and Trip.com indicate overcast conditions and possible light precipitation on June 16, 2026, which are suppressing daytime heating and positioning the daily maximum near 29–30°C—aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C or below (48.5%) and 28°C (25.5%). Chengdu's subtropical climate typically sees June highs averaging 29–31°C amid rising humidity and monsoon influences, but persistent cloud cover and regional atmospheric patterns have tempered recent model runs, reducing the implied probability of 30°C+ outcomes to under 9% combined. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official maximum readings, with traders monitoring updated NMC or local station data ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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