Current forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international models indicate a typical early-winter pattern for Cape Town on June 6, with daytime highs centered near the long-term June average of 17–18°C under generally stable high-pressure influence and light easterly winds. This climatological baseline, combined with limited short-term variability in recent ensemble runs showing no strong warming or cooling signals, underpins trader consensus favoring 18°C as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent values. Model spread and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing exact maximum temperatures explain the market’s distribution across 17–19°C, with lower odds on extremes reflecting historical rarity of significant deviations this early in the season.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 6?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 6?
18°C 39%
19°C 31%
17°C 17%
20°C 7.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jun 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
17%
18°C
39%
19°C
31%
20°C
8%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 39%
19°C 31%
17°C 17%
20°C 7.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jun 2026
12°C or below
$301 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$185 Vol.
1%
15°C
$35 Vol.
2%
16°C
$370 Vol.
3%
17°C
$281 Vol.
17%
18°C
$102 Vol.
39%
19°C
$90 Vol.
31%
20°C
$167 Vol.
8%
21°C
$34 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$195 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international models indicate a typical early-winter pattern for Cape Town on June 6, with daytime highs centered near the long-term June average of 17–18°C under generally stable high-pressure influence and light easterly winds. This climatological baseline, combined with limited short-term variability in recent ensemble runs showing no strong warming or cooling signals, underpins trader consensus favoring 18°C as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent values. Model spread and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing exact maximum temperatures explain the market’s distribution across 17–19°C, with lower odds on extremes reflecting historical rarity of significant deviations this early in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$1,752Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international models indicate a typical early-winter pattern for Cape Town on June 6, with daytime highs centered near the long-term June average of 17–18°C under generally stable high-pressure influence and light easterly winds. This climatological baseline, combined with limited short-term variability in recent ensemble runs showing no strong warming or cooling signals, underpins trader consensus favoring 18°C as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent values. Model spread and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing exact maximum temperatures explain the market’s distribution across 17–19°C, with lower odds on extremes reflecting historical rarity of significant deviations this early in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,752Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international models indicate a typical early-winter pattern for Cape Town on June 6, with daytime highs centered near the long-term June average of 17–18°C under generally stable high-pressure influence and light easterly winds. This climatological baseline, combined with limited short-term variability in recent ensemble runs showing no strong warming or cooling signals, underpins trader consensus favoring 18°C as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent values. Model spread and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing exact maximum temperatures explain the market’s distribution across 17–19°C, with lower odds on extremes reflecting historical rarity of significant deviations this early in the season.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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