Recent South African Weather Service and international model consensus points to a maximum of 15–16 °C in Cape Town on 15 June, driven by post-frontal south-easterly flow and partial clearing after a cold front crossed the Western Cape earlier in the week. These conditions suppress daytime warming relative to the June climatological average of ~17 °C, while limited cloud cover and light winds prevent significant further cooling or warming. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16 °C therefore reflects the narrow uncertainty range in current short-range guidance, with any late adjustment in steering flow or residual moisture the main variables that could shift the observed high by 1 °C either side.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 15 de junio?
16°C 49%
15°C 28%
17°C 24%
18°C 2.3%
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
28%
16°C
49%
17°C
24%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
16°C 49%
15°C 28%
17°C 24%
18°C 2.3%
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
28%
16°C
49%
17°C
24%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent South African Weather Service and international model consensus points to a maximum of 15–16 °C in Cape Town on 15 June, driven by post-frontal south-easterly flow and partial clearing after a cold front crossed the Western Cape earlier in the week. These conditions suppress daytime warming relative to the June climatological average of ~17 °C, while limited cloud cover and light winds prevent significant further cooling or warming. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16 °C therefore reflects the narrow uncertainty range in current short-range guidance, with any late adjustment in steering flow or residual moisture the main variables that could shift the observed high by 1 °C either side.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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