Official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and supporting numerical models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C for Cape Town on June 14 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions featuring moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and no significant warm advection. This consensus, aligned with historical June climatology around 17°C but adjusted for current synoptic patterns, underpins the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability on 16°C. Real-time trader positioning reflects confidence in these data, with limited volatility expected absent major model revisions. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized wind changes enhancing downslope warming or unexpected clear skies boosting insolation enough to reach 17°C or higher, while increased marine layer cloud or showers might cap the high at 15°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 14 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 14 de junio?
16°C 99.6%
17°C <1%
9°C o menos <1%
10°C <1%
$28,833 Vol.
$28,833 Vol.
14 jun 2026
9°C o menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11 °C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o más
<1%
16°C 99.6%
17°C <1%
9°C o menos <1%
10°C <1%
$28,833 Vol.
$28,833 Vol.
14 jun 2026
9°C o menos
$1,615 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
11 °C
$639 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,677 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$3,854 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,874 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3,438 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,402 Vol.
100%
17°C
$4,367 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,697 Vol.
<1%
19°C o más
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and supporting numerical models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C for Cape Town on June 14 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions featuring moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and no significant warm advection. This consensus, aligned with historical June climatology around 17°C but adjusted for current synoptic patterns, underpins the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability on 16°C. Real-time trader positioning reflects confidence in these data, with limited volatility expected absent major model revisions. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized wind changes enhancing downslope warming or unexpected clear skies boosting insolation enough to reach 17°C or higher, while increased marine layer cloud or showers might cap the high at 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volumen
$28,833Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and supporting numerical models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C for Cape Town on June 14 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions featuring moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and no significant warm advection. This consensus, aligned with historical June climatology around 17°C but adjusted for current synoptic patterns, underpins the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability on 16°C. Real-time trader positioning reflects confidence in these data, with limited volatility expected absent major model revisions. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized wind changes enhancing downslope warming or unexpected clear skies boosting insolation enough to reach 17°C or higher, while increased marine layer cloud or showers might cap the high at 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$28,833Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and supporting numerical models indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C for Cape Town on June 14 amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions featuring moderate northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and no significant warm advection. This consensus, aligned with historical June climatology around 17°C but adjusted for current synoptic patterns, underpins the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability on 16°C. Real-time trader positioning reflects confidence in these data, with limited volatility expected absent major model revisions. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized wind changes enhancing downslope warming or unexpected clear skies boosting insolation enough to reach 17°C or higher, while increased marine layer cloud or showers might cap the high at 15°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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