Forecast models from major agencies indicate Beijing's June 16 maximum temperature will likely settle near 27–28°C, driving the tight market split between those outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with seasonal norms for mid-June highs around 30°C tempered by possible onshore flow or lingering moisture. Official observations and short-range runs emphasize uncertainty in peak afternoon readings, where small shifts in advection or insolation could tip the daily high between the two leading bins. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, underscoring how real-time data updates will refine trader positioning ahead of the close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 16 de junio?
27°C 29%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 11%
$15,399 Vol.
$15,399 Vol.
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C
29%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C o más
1%
27°C 29%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 11%
$15,399 Vol.
$15,399 Vol.
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C
29%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major agencies indicate Beijing's June 16 maximum temperature will likely settle near 27–28°C, driving the tight market split between those outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with seasonal norms for mid-June highs around 30°C tempered by possible onshore flow or lingering moisture. Official observations and short-range runs emphasize uncertainty in peak afternoon readings, where small shifts in advection or insolation could tip the daily high between the two leading bins. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, underscoring how real-time data updates will refine trader positioning ahead of the close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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