Trader consensus on Austin's June 15 high temperature centers on the low 80s because recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a cooler-than-normal pattern for mid-June, with highs potentially suppressed by increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered afternoon convection. Historical June averages near 93°F provide context, yet current steering flows and moisture from the Gulf appear to limit peak heating, creating tight spreads between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Small differences in model timing of instability or wind shifts explain the close probabilities, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and local observations ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on June 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 21%
86-87°F 4.5%
NUEVO
$12,064 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,064 Vol.
15 jun 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
21%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 21%
86-87°F 4.5%
NUEVO
$12,064 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,064 Vol.
15 jun 2026
73°F or below
$139 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$273 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$232 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$702 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$687 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$753 Vol.
36%
84-85°F
$788 Vol.
21%
86-87°F
$1,461 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$964 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$3,470 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$2,815 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Austin's June 15 high temperature centers on the low 80s because recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a cooler-than-normal pattern for mid-June, with highs potentially suppressed by increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered afternoon convection. Historical June averages near 93°F provide context, yet current steering flows and moisture from the Gulf appear to limit peak heating, creating tight spreads between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Small differences in model timing of instability or wind shifts explain the close probabilities, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and local observations ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$12,064Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Austin's June 15 high temperature centers on the low 80s because recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a cooler-than-normal pattern for mid-June, with highs potentially suppressed by increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered afternoon convection. Historical June averages near 93°F provide context, yet current steering flows and moisture from the Gulf appear to limit peak heating, creating tight spreads between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Small differences in model timing of instability or wind shifts explain the close probabilities, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and local observations ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,064Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Austin's June 15 high temperature centers on the low 80s because recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a cooler-than-normal pattern for mid-June, with highs potentially suppressed by increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered afternoon convection. Historical June averages near 93°F provide context, yet current steering flows and moisture from the Gulf appear to limit peak heating, creating tight spreads between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Small differences in model timing of instability or wind shifts explain the close probabilities, with traders weighting ensemble consensus and local observations ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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