**Latest forecast models indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C for Amsterdam on 16 June 2026, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities (23 °C at 44.5 %, 22 °C at 28 %, 24 °C at 23 %).** Persistent cloud cover and light showers associated with a westerly flow are expected to limit solar heating, keeping the high in the low-20s °C range. Ensemble guidance from major centers shows tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread that explains the low odds assigned to 25 °C or higher (under 2 %) and sub-21 °C outcomes. Historical June averages for the city hover near 19–20 °C, so the current setup represents slightly above-normal but not exceptional warmth. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs and observed trends in upstream Atlantic conditions that favor this narrow temperature band, with little expectation of significant model shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 16?
23°C 45%
22°C 28%
24°C 24%
21°C 5%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
28%
23°C
45%
24°C
24%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
23°C 45%
22°C 28%
24°C 24%
21°C 5%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
28%
23°C
45%
24°C
24%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecast models indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C for Amsterdam on 16 June 2026, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities (23 °C at 44.5 %, 22 °C at 28 %, 24 °C at 23 %).** Persistent cloud cover and light showers associated with a westerly flow are expected to limit solar heating, keeping the high in the low-20s °C range. Ensemble guidance from major centers shows tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread that explains the low odds assigned to 25 °C or higher (under 2 %) and sub-21 °C outcomes. Historical June averages for the city hover near 19–20 °C, so the current setup represents slightly above-normal but not exceptional warmth. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs and observed trends in upstream Atlantic conditions that favor this narrow temperature band, with little expectation of significant model shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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