Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high of 17–18°C for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. This consensus aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the region, where Atlantic high-pressure influences and limited solar heating from cloud cover moderate peak temperatures near long-term averages of 19°C. Ensemble variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture creates modest upside risk toward 19–20°C in some runs, supporting the market’s heaviest positioning on 17–18°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 20°C or below 16°C. Updated model guidance ahead of the peak heating window will refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 49%
17°C 33%
19°C 16%
16°C 5%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
33%
18°C
49%
19°C
16%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 49%
17°C 33%
19°C 16%
16°C 5%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
33%
18°C
49%
19°C
16%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high of 17–18°C for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. This consensus aligns with typical mid-June climatology for the region, where Atlantic high-pressure influences and limited solar heating from cloud cover moderate peak temperatures near long-term averages of 19°C. Ensemble variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture creates modest upside risk toward 19–20°C in some runs, supporting the market’s heaviest positioning on 17–18°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 20°C or below 16°C. Updated model guidance ahead of the peak heating window will refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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