Current European forecast models, including consensus runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 17°C in Amsterdam on June 11 amid moderate westerly flow and possible light rain, positioning that outcome as the market leader. Typical early-June climatology features daily highs of 18–21°C, but recent model guidance shows slightly cooler air advection suppressing peak values below seasonal norms. Short-term uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in cloud cover or timing of any showers, which could nudge readings to 16°C or 18°C. Updated model cycles and official KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 11?
17°C 47%
18°C 21%
16°C 21%
19°C 6.3%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
21%
17°C
47%
18°C
21%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 47%
18°C 21%
16°C 21%
19°C 6.3%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
21%
17°C
47%
18°C
21%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:13 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current European forecast models, including consensus runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 17°C in Amsterdam on June 11 amid moderate westerly flow and possible light rain, positioning that outcome as the market leader. Typical early-June climatology features daily highs of 18–21°C, but recent model guidance shows slightly cooler air advection suppressing peak values below seasonal norms. Short-term uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in cloud cover or timing of any showers, which could nudge readings to 16°C or 18°C. Updated model cycles and official KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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