Recent MRP polls from late April, including YouGov and JL Partners, show the Green Party leading Labour by around seven points in Hackney—40% to 33%—marking a dramatic 17-point Green surge since 2022 and eroding Labour's two-decade stronghold in the London borough. This trader consensus has propelled Green London Assembly member Zoë Garbett to a commanding position against incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley, who seeks her first full four-year term amid local grievances over council tax hikes. With the May 7 vote days away, odds reflect skin-in-the-game expectations of a Green upset, though higher-than-expected Labour turnout, vote splits, or late scandals could still shift the outcome under the supplementary vote system.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Hackney
Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Hackney
Zoë Garbett 94%
Caroline Woodley 2.6%
Vahid Almasi <1%
Tareke Gregg <1%
$17,375 Vol.
$17,375 Vol.

Zoë Garbett
94%

Caroline Woodley
3%

Vahid Almasi
<1%

Tareke Gregg
<1%

Eva Steinhardt
<1%
Zoë Garbett 94%
Caroline Woodley 2.6%
Vahid Almasi <1%
Tareke Gregg <1%
$17,375 Vol.
$17,375 Vol.

Zoë Garbett
94%

Caroline Woodley
3%

Vahid Almasi
<1%

Tareke Gregg
<1%

Eva Steinhardt
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MRP polls from late April, including YouGov and JL Partners, show the Green Party leading Labour by around seven points in Hackney—40% to 33%—marking a dramatic 17-point Green surge since 2022 and eroding Labour's two-decade stronghold in the London borough. This trader consensus has propelled Green London Assembly member Zoë Garbett to a commanding position against incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley, who seeks her first full four-year term amid local grievances over council tax hikes. With the May 7 vote days away, odds reflect skin-in-the-game expectations of a Green upset, though higher-than-expected Labour turnout, vote splits, or late scandals could still shift the outcome under the supplementary vote system.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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