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icon for ¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 12 al 19 de junio de 2026?

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 12 al 19 de junio de 2026?

icon for ¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 12 al 19 de junio de 2026?

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 12 al 19 de junio de 2026?

140-159 19.3%

120-139 18.4%

160-179 17%

180-199 13%

Polymarket

$2,100,969 Vol.

140-159 19.3%

120-139 18.4%

160-179 17%

180-199 13%

Polymarket

$2,100,969 Vol.

20-39

$100,067 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$123,206 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$165,922 Vol.

1%

80-99

$128,105 Vol.

4%

100-119

$49,003 Vol.

11%

120-139

$34,440 Vol.

18%

140-159

$35,186 Vol.

19%

160-179

$24,824 Vol.

17%

180-199

$25,405 Vol.

13%

200-219

$38,004 Vol.

9%

220-239

$45,658 Vol.

5%

240-259

$40,275 Vol.

2%

260-279

$29,585 Vol.

2%

280-299

$32,899 Vol.

1%

300-319

$39,559 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$48,839 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$84,268 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$53,390 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$64,307 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$72,414 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$94,130 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$81,490 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$69,861 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$96,681 Vol.

<1%

500+

$296,400 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 12 12:00 PM ET to June 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting rate on X has settled into a consistent 25–35 tweets per day in early June 2026, driven by routine company updates, replies, and occasional SpaceX milestones such as satellite launch records. With three days of the June 12–19 window already logged at roughly that pace and no major product launches, policy announcements, or external controversies surfacing yet, traders have clustered probability on the 120–179 range. Variability in weekend volume, the precise definition of countable posts, and the chance of a late-week catalyst keep the top three buckets separated by only a few percentage points. Any sudden surge in engagement or breaking corporate news could widen the distribution, while continued steady cadence would reinforce the current narrow band.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 12 12:00 PM ET to June 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$2,100,969
Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 12 12:00 PM ET to June 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 12 12:00 PM ET to June 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting rate on X has settled into a consistent 25–35 tweets per day in early June 2026, driven by routine company updates, replies, and occasional SpaceX milestones such as satellite launch records. With three days of the June 12–19 window already logged at roughly that pace and no major product launches, policy announcements, or external controversies surfacing yet, traders have clustered probability on the 120–179 range. Variability in weekend volume, the precise definition of countable posts, and the chance of a late-week catalyst keep the top three buckets separated by only a few percentage points. Any sudden surge in engagement or breaking corporate news could widen the distribution, while continued steady cadence would reinforce the current narrow band.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 12 12:00 PM ET to June 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$2,100,969
Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 12 12:00 PM ET to June 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 12 al 19 de junio de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 26 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "140-159" con 19%, seguido de "120-139" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 19¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 12 al 19 de junio de 2026?" ha generado $2.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 12 al 19 de junio de 2026?", explora los 26 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 12 al 19 de junio de 2026?" es "140-159" con 19%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "120-139" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 12 al 19 de junio de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.