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icon for Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?
Política·Colombia

Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?

icon for Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?
Política·Colombia

Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?

5% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
5% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Daniel Noboa's decisive re-election victory in Ecuador's April 2025 presidential runoff, where he defeated Luisa González with over 51% of the vote, secured a full four-year term through 2029, solidifying his position well beyond June 30, 2026. Recent governance actions, including cabinet reshuffles and a new energy minister announced on April 20 amid electricity shortages and security curfews, underscore his active leadership despite ongoing challenges like organized crime and a failed November 2025 referendum on U.S. military bases. Opposition calls for a presidential recall have gained no traction, with no impeachment proceedings or resignation signals from official sources, reflecting trader consensus on minimal near-term removal risk.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,757
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Daniel Noboa's decisive re-election victory in Ecuador's April 2025 presidential runoff, where he defeated Luisa González with over 51% of the vote, secured a full four-year term through 2029, solidifying his position well beyond June 30, 2026. Recent governance actions, including cabinet reshuffles and a new energy minister announced on April 20 amid electricity shortages and security curfews, underscore his active leadership despite ongoing challenges like organized crime and a failed November 2025 referendum on U.S. military bases. Opposition calls for a presidential recall have gained no traction, with no impeachment proceedings or resignation signals from official sources, reflecting trader consensus on minimal near-term removal risk.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,757
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 5% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 5¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 5% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 19, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?" es 5% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 5% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.