Xi Jinping's consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including investigations into senior officers framed as anti-corruption measures, have reinforced loyalty to central leadership and reduced visible elite factionalism ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Centralized party structures, extensive internal security apparatus, and surveillance systems further constrain organized opposition or sudden challenges. Historical patterns of orderly elite management within the CCP support this positioning. Low-probability shifts could still arise from abrupt leadership health developments, severe economic disruptions, or unforeseen fractures among remaining senior figures, though such events remain outside prevailing trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$139,242 Vol.
$139,242 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$139,242 Vol.
$139,242 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including investigations into senior officers framed as anti-corruption measures, have reinforced loyalty to central leadership and reduced visible elite factionalism ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Centralized party structures, extensive internal security apparatus, and surveillance systems further constrain organized opposition or sudden challenges. Historical patterns of orderly elite management within the CCP support this positioning. Low-probability shifts could still arise from abrupt leadership health developments, severe economic disruptions, or unforeseen fractures among remaining senior figures, though such events remain outside prevailing trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$139,242Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including investigations into senior officers framed as anti-corruption measures, have reinforced loyalty to central leadership and reduced visible elite factionalism ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Centralized party structures, extensive internal security apparatus, and surveillance systems further constrain organized opposition or sudden challenges. Historical patterns of orderly elite management within the CCP support this positioning. Low-probability shifts could still arise from abrupt leadership health developments, severe economic disruptions, or unforeseen fractures among remaining senior figures, though such events remain outside prevailing trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$139,242Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including investigations into senior officers framed as anti-corruption measures, have reinforced loyalty to central leadership and reduced visible elite factionalism ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Centralized party structures, extensive internal security apparatus, and surveillance systems further constrain organized opposition or sudden challenges. Historical patterns of orderly elite management within the CCP support this positioning. Low-probability shifts could still arise from abrupt leadership health developments, severe economic disruptions, or unforeseen fractures among remaining senior figures, though such events remain outside prevailing trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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