Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of authority since the 20th Party Congress, reinforced by ongoing military purges framed as anti-corruption measures, underpins trader expectations of continued CCP stability through 2027. Centralized control over the People’s Liberation Army, emphasis on ideological conformity, and absence of organized factional challenges limit openings for coordinated action. Recent National People’s Congress sessions and Five-Year Plan approvals further signal elite alignment around policy continuity rather than disruption. While a sudden leadership health crisis, severe economic shock, or miscalculation ahead of the 21st Party Congress could introduce volatility, the system’s surveillance apparatus and loyalty requirements make an attempted coup before 2027 highly improbable in the consensus reflected by current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$139,484 Vol.
$139,484 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$139,484 Vol.
$139,484 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of authority since the 20th Party Congress, reinforced by ongoing military purges framed as anti-corruption measures, underpins trader expectations of continued CCP stability through 2027. Centralized control over the People’s Liberation Army, emphasis on ideological conformity, and absence of organized factional challenges limit openings for coordinated action. Recent National People’s Congress sessions and Five-Year Plan approvals further signal elite alignment around policy continuity rather than disruption. While a sudden leadership health crisis, severe economic shock, or miscalculation ahead of the 21st Party Congress could introduce volatility, the system’s surveillance apparatus and loyalty requirements make an attempted coup before 2027 highly improbable in the consensus reflected by current pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$139,484Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of authority since the 20th Party Congress, reinforced by ongoing military purges framed as anti-corruption measures, underpins trader expectations of continued CCP stability through 2027. Centralized control over the People’s Liberation Army, emphasis on ideological conformity, and absence of organized factional challenges limit openings for coordinated action. Recent National People’s Congress sessions and Five-Year Plan approvals further signal elite alignment around policy continuity rather than disruption. While a sudden leadership health crisis, severe economic shock, or miscalculation ahead of the 21st Party Congress could introduce volatility, the system’s surveillance apparatus and loyalty requirements make an attempted coup before 2027 highly improbable in the consensus reflected by current pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$139,484Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of authority since the 20th Party Congress, reinforced by ongoing military purges framed as anti-corruption measures, underpins trader expectations of continued CCP stability through 2027. Centralized control over the People’s Liberation Army, emphasis on ideological conformity, and absence of organized factional challenges limit openings for coordinated action. Recent National People’s Congress sessions and Five-Year Plan approvals further signal elite alignment around policy continuity rather than disruption. While a sudden leadership health crisis, severe economic shock, or miscalculation ahead of the 21st Party Congress could introduce volatility, the system’s surveillance apparatus and loyalty requirements make an attempted coup before 2027 highly improbable in the consensus reflected by current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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