Recent AtlasIntel (April 22-27) and Nexus polls show Renan Santos surging to 5.3% and 3% in first-round scenarios—third behind Lula (41-47%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (36-40%)—edging past Romeu Zema (3-4%) and Ronaldo Caiado (3-6%), fueling his climb to 31.5% trader consensus for third place while Zema holds a slim 37.5% lead and Caiado trails at 20%. This tight contest reflects a fragmented center-right field, with governors Zema (Novo, Minas Gerais base) and Caiado (PSD, Center-West strength) competing against MBL activist Renan Santos' rising youth appeal and digital momentum amid no party consolidation. Separation could arise from June-July party conventions, Bolsonaro family endorsements, or debate performances before the October 4 first round.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRomeu Zema 38%
Renan Santos 32%
Ronaldo Caiado 20%
Flávio Bolsonaro 4.2%
$262,450 Vol.
$262,450 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Romeu Zema
38%
Renan Santos
32%
Ronaldo Caiado
20%
Flávio Bolsonaro
4%
Fernando Haddad
3%
Tarcisio de Freitas
2%
Jair Bolsonaro
1%
Camilo Santana
1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Romeu Zema 38%
Renan Santos 32%
Ronaldo Caiado 20%
Flávio Bolsonaro 4.2%
$262,450 Vol.
$262,450 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Romeu Zema
$7,415 Vol.
38%
Renan Santos
$56,028 Vol.
32%
Ronaldo Caiado
$15,260 Vol.
20%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$5,704 Vol.
4%
Fernando Haddad
$14,287 Vol.
3%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$4,321 Vol.
2%
Jair Bolsonaro
$3,994 Vol.
1%
Camilo Santana
$5,352 Vol.
1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$4,173 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$39,580 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$3,313 Vol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$92,940 Vol.
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$3,636 Vol.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$4,022 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$2,423 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent AtlasIntel (April 22-27) and Nexus polls show Renan Santos surging to 5.3% and 3% in first-round scenarios—third behind Lula (41-47%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (36-40%)—edging past Romeu Zema (3-4%) and Ronaldo Caiado (3-6%), fueling his climb to 31.5% trader consensus for third place while Zema holds a slim 37.5% lead and Caiado trails at 20%. This tight contest reflects a fragmented center-right field, with governors Zema (Novo, Minas Gerais base) and Caiado (PSD, Center-West strength) competing against MBL activist Renan Santos' rising youth appeal and digital momentum amid no party consolidation. Separation could arise from June-July party conventions, Bolsonaro family endorsements, or debate performances before the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$262,450Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent AtlasIntel (April 22-27) and Nexus polls show Renan Santos surging to 5.3% and 3% in first-round scenarios—third behind Lula (41-47%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (36-40%)—edging past Romeu Zema (3-4%) and Ronaldo Caiado (3-6%), fueling his climb to 31.5% trader consensus for third place while Zema holds a slim 37.5% lead and Caiado trails at 20%. This tight contest reflects a fragmented center-right field, with governors Zema (Novo, Minas Gerais base) and Caiado (PSD, Center-West strength) competing against MBL activist Renan Santos' rising youth appeal and digital momentum amid no party consolidation. Separation could arise from June-July party conventions, Bolsonaro family endorsements, or debate performances before the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$262,450Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent AtlasIntel (April 22-27) and Nexus polls show Renan Santos surging to 5.3% and 3% in first-round scenarios—third behind Lula (41-47%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (36-40%)—edging past Romeu Zema (3-4%) and Ronaldo Caiado (3-6%), fueling his climb to 31.5% trader consensus for third place while Zema holds a slim 37.5% lead and Caiado trails at 20%. This tight contest reflects a fragmented center-right field, with governors Zema (Novo, Minas Gerais base) and Caiado (PSD, Center-West strength) competing against MBL activist Renan Santos' rising youth appeal and digital momentum amid no party consolidation. Separation could arise from June-July party conventions, Bolsonaro family endorsements, or debate performances before the October 4 first round.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes