Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at 3.75% for the Bank of England's June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the MPC's unanimous hold today (April 30) and in March amid persistent above-target inflation. A 32% chance of a 25 basis points hike stems from March CPI accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year from 3.0%, fueled by Middle East conflict-driven energy price spikes, alongside 3.6% wage growth and April's minimum wage increase adding cost pressures. Cuts remain negligible (<1%) given sticky core inflation around 3.1% and hawkish analyst views like ING's call for a June hike, with April CPI and labor data as key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en junio?
Sin cambio 67%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 32%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos <1%
$66,642 Vol.
$66,642 Vol.
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
<1%
Sin cambio
67%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
32%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
<1%
Sin cambio 67%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 32%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos <1%
$66,642 Vol.
$66,642 Vol.
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
1%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
<1%
Sin cambio
67%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
32%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at 3.75% for the Bank of England's June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the MPC's unanimous hold today (April 30) and in March amid persistent above-target inflation. A 32% chance of a 25 basis points hike stems from March CPI accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year from 3.0%, fueled by Middle East conflict-driven energy price spikes, alongside 3.6% wage growth and April's minimum wage increase adding cost pressures. Cuts remain negligible (<1%) given sticky core inflation around 3.1% and hawkish analyst views like ING's call for a June hike, with April CPI and labor data as key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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