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Elecciones·Brasil

Bahia Governor Election Winner

icon for Bahia Governor Election Winner
Elecciones·Brasil

Bahia Governor Election Winner

ACM Neto 62%

Jerônimo Rodrigues 28%

José Carlos Aleluia 5.5%

Kleber Rosa 3.8%

Polymarket
NUEVO

ACM Neto 62%

Jerônimo Rodrigues 28%

José Carlos Aleluia 5.5%

Kleber Rosa 3.8%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for ACM Neto

ACM Neto

$1,409 Vol.

62%

icon for Jerônimo Rodrigues

Jerônimo Rodrigues

$609 Vol.

36%

icon for José Carlos Aleluia

José Carlos Aleluia

$1,218 Vol.

5%

icon for Kleber Rosa

Kleber Rosa

$617 Vol.

4%

icon for João Roma

João Roma

$330 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruno Soares Reis

Bruno Soares Reis

$324 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa

Rui Costa

$488 Vol.

<1%

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls drive trader consensus favoring former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 61% implied probability to win Bahia's October 4 gubernatorial election, positioning him ahead of incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) at 33.5%. Veritá's late-April survey showed ACM Neto leading 56% to 42% on valid votes, amid Jerônimo's 42-47% rejection rate versus ACM's 32%, while Quaest's April 23-27 poll indicated a technical tie at 41-37% in first-round scenarios. ACM's alliances with PL and NOVO bolster his coalition potential against PT's long incumbency, with low odds for others like José Carlos Aleluia (6.6%) reflecting minimal poll support. A runoff looms if no candidate exceeds 50% plus a 10-point margin over second place.

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$4,995
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls drive trader consensus favoring former Salvador mayor ACM Neto (União Brasil) at 61% implied probability to win Bahia's October 4 gubernatorial election, positioning him ahead of incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) at 33.5%. Veritá's late-April survey showed ACM Neto leading 56% to 42% on valid votes, amid Jerônimo's 42-47% rejection rate versus ACM's 32%, while Quaest's April 23-27 poll indicated a technical tie at 41-37% in first-round scenarios. ACM's alliances with PL and NOVO bolster his coalition potential against PT's long incumbency, with low odds for others like José Carlos Aleluia (6.6%) reflecting minimal poll support. A runoff looms if no candidate exceeds 50% plus a 10-point margin over second place.

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$4,995
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Bahia Governor Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "ACM Neto" con 62%, seguido de "Jerônimo Rodrigues" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 62¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 62% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Bahia Governor Election Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Bahia Governor Election Winner", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Bahia Governor Election Winner" es "ACM Neto" con 62%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 62% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jerônimo Rodrigues" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Bahia Governor Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.