Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73% implied probability on Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate—up from $9 billion at end-2025—fueled by surging enterprise demand for Claude models, outpacing OpenAI's $24 billion. Secondary market trades this week valued Anthropic at over $1 trillion, eclipsing OpenAI's $850 billion amid investor scrutiny over the latter's missed user and revenue targets post its $122 billion March funding at $852 billion post-money. Anthropic's February $30 billion Series G at $380 billion anchors fundamentals, with VC bids exceeding $800 billion signaling momentum; key catalysts include pending funding rounds, model releases, and potential 2026 IPOs that could widen the valuation gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$37,831 Vol.
$37,831 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$37,831 Vol.
$37,831 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73% implied probability on Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate—up from $9 billion at end-2025—fueled by surging enterprise demand for Claude models, outpacing OpenAI's $24 billion. Secondary market trades this week valued Anthropic at over $1 trillion, eclipsing OpenAI's $850 billion amid investor scrutiny over the latter's missed user and revenue targets post its $122 billion March funding at $852 billion post-money. Anthropic's February $30 billion Series G at $380 billion anchors fundamentals, with VC bids exceeding $800 billion signaling momentum; key catalysts include pending funding rounds, model releases, and potential 2026 IPOs that could widen the valuation gap.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Volumen
$37,831Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73% implied probability on Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate—up from $9 billion at end-2025—fueled by surging enterprise demand for Claude models, outpacing OpenAI's $24 billion. Secondary market trades this week valued Anthropic at over $1 trillion, eclipsing OpenAI's $850 billion amid investor scrutiny over the latter's missed user and revenue targets post its $122 billion March funding at $852 billion post-money. Anthropic's February $30 billion Series G at $380 billion anchors fundamentals, with VC bids exceeding $800 billion signaling momentum; key catalysts include pending funding rounds, model releases, and potential 2026 IPOs that could widen the valuation gap.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$37,831Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73% implied probability on Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate—up from $9 billion at end-2025—fueled by surging enterprise demand for Claude models, outpacing OpenAI's $24 billion. Secondary market trades this week valued Anthropic at over $1 trillion, eclipsing OpenAI's $850 billion amid investor scrutiny over the latter's missed user and revenue targets post its $122 billion March funding at $852 billion post-money. Anthropic's February $30 billion Series G at $380 billion anchors fundamentals, with VC bids exceeding $800 billion signaling momentum; key catalysts include pending funding rounds, model releases, and potential 2026 IPOs that could widen the valuation gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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