Federal prosecutors recently indicted former FBI Director James Comey, a prominent Trump critic, on charges stemming from a 2025 Instagram post depicting "86 47" in seashells—interpreted by the DOJ as a threat against President Trump as the 47th president—marking the latest action in a series of cases against perceived opponents. This development, following a prior dismissed case against Comey, has fueled speculation of further DOJ pursuits under Attorney General Pam Bondi targeting figures like state prosecutors Letitia James or Fani Willis, yet trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 53% implied probability, reflecting short timeline to May 31, potential judicial dismissals of thin indictments, and political risks of overreach. Tipping factors include new grand jury announcements or referrals boosting "Yes," while court rejections or White House restraint could solidify "No."
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
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NUEVO
31 may 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Federal prosecutors recently indicted former FBI Director James Comey, a prominent Trump critic, on charges stemming from a 2025 Instagram post depicting "86 47" in seashells—interpreted by the DOJ as a threat against President Trump as the 47th president—marking the latest action in a series of cases against perceived opponents. This development, following a prior dismissed case against Comey, has fueled speculation of further DOJ pursuits under Attorney General Pam Bondi targeting figures like state prosecutors Letitia James or Fani Willis, yet trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 53% implied probability, reflecting short timeline to May 31, potential judicial dismissals of thin indictments, and political risks of overreach. Tipping factors include new grand jury announcements or referrals boosting "Yes," while court rejections or White House restraint could solidify "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ET
Volumen
$3,740Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Federal prosecutors recently indicted former FBI Director James Comey, a prominent Trump critic, on charges stemming from a 2025 Instagram post depicting "86 47" in seashells—interpreted by the DOJ as a threat against President Trump as the 47th president—marking the latest action in a series of cases against perceived opponents. This development, following a prior dismissed case against Comey, has fueled speculation of further DOJ pursuits under Attorney General Pam Bondi targeting figures like state prosecutors Letitia James or Fani Willis, yet trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 53% implied probability, reflecting short timeline to May 31, potential judicial dismissals of thin indictments, and political risks of overreach. Tipping factors include new grand jury announcements or referrals boosting "Yes," while court rejections or White House restraint could solidify "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$3,740Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal prosecutors recently indicted former FBI Director James Comey, a prominent Trump critic, on charges stemming from a 2025 Instagram post depicting "86 47" in seashells—interpreted by the DOJ as a threat against President Trump as the 47th president—marking the latest action in a series of cases against perceived opponents. This development, following a prior dismissed case against Comey, has fueled speculation of further DOJ pursuits under Attorney General Pam Bondi targeting figures like state prosecutors Letitia James or Fani Willis, yet trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 53% implied probability, reflecting short timeline to May 31, potential judicial dismissals of thin indictments, and political risks of overreach. Tipping factors include new grand jury announcements or referrals boosting "Yes," while court rejections or White House restraint could solidify "No."
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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