Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no additional expulsion of an Iranian diplomat by April 30, reflecting the absence of fresh diplomatic incidents or national security revelations since early April actions by Argentina, which declared Iran's charge d'affaires persona non grata over tensions including Iran's blacklisting of an Argentine group, and U.S. disclosures of a prior quiet removal of Iran's deputy UN envoy. No major escalations in bilateral relations, sanctions disputes, or proxy conflicts have emerged in the intervening weeks to prompt further measures from key actors like the U.S., EU nations, or regional powers. With the market deadline today, late-breaking announcements—such as sudden retaliatory diplomacy or verified intelligence on Iranian activities—remain the only realistic paths to shift odds, though none have materialized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Otro diplomático iraní expulsado antes del 30 de abril?
¿Otro diplomático iraní expulsado antes del 30 de abril?
Sí
$12,907 Vol.
$12,907 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Sí
$12,907 Vol.
$12,907 Vol.
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no additional expulsion of an Iranian diplomat by April 30, reflecting the absence of fresh diplomatic incidents or national security revelations since early April actions by Argentina, which declared Iran's charge d'affaires persona non grata over tensions including Iran's blacklisting of an Argentine group, and U.S. disclosures of a prior quiet removal of Iran's deputy UN envoy. No major escalations in bilateral relations, sanctions disputes, or proxy conflicts have emerged in the intervening weeks to prompt further measures from key actors like the U.S., EU nations, or regional powers. With the market deadline today, late-breaking announcements—such as sudden retaliatory diplomacy or verified intelligence on Iranian activities—remain the only realistic paths to shift odds, though none have materialized.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volumen
$12,907Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 6, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no additional expulsion of an Iranian diplomat by April 30, reflecting the absence of fresh diplomatic incidents or national security revelations since early April actions by Argentina, which declared Iran's charge d'affaires persona non grata over tensions including Iran's blacklisting of an Argentine group, and U.S. disclosures of a prior quiet removal of Iran's deputy UN envoy. No major escalations in bilateral relations, sanctions disputes, or proxy conflicts have emerged in the intervening weeks to prompt further measures from key actors like the U.S., EU nations, or regional powers. With the market deadline today, late-breaking announcements—such as sudden retaliatory diplomacy or verified intelligence on Iranian activities—remain the only realistic paths to shift odds, though none have materialized.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$12,907Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 6, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no additional expulsion of an Iranian diplomat by April 30, reflecting the absence of fresh diplomatic incidents or national security revelations since early April actions by Argentina, which declared Iran's charge d'affaires persona non grata over tensions including Iran's blacklisting of an Argentine group, and U.S. disclosures of a prior quiet removal of Iran's deputy UN envoy. No major escalations in bilateral relations, sanctions disputes, or proxy conflicts have emerged in the intervening weeks to prompt further measures from key actors like the U.S., EU nations, or regional powers. With the market deadline today, late-breaking announcements—such as sudden retaliatory diplomacy or verified intelligence on Iranian activities—remain the only realistic paths to shift odds, though none have materialized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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