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Microsoft predictions & odds

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Bill Gates charged by June 30?

Bill Gates charged by June 30?

3%

$10.5K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of April 27 2026?

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of April 27 2026?

21%

↓ $397.50

$25.9K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above___?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above___?

100%

$360

$3.5K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?

88%

↓ $420

$1.0K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Apr 27 at ___?

Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Apr 27 at ___?

40%

$410-$420

$295 Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 1?

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 1?

57%

Up

$208 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on May 1?

Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on May 1?

83%

$400

$149 Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

New MAI model released by...?

New MAI model released by...?

100%

June 30

$149K Vol.

$148K today

$309K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

11%

$71.8K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

10

Ends in 10 months

Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?

Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?

3%

$1.1K Vol.

$993 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

When will Project Helix be released?

When will Project Helix be released?

50%

May 31, 2027

$25 Vol.

$130 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

83%

Anthropic

$2M Vol.

$1M today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

66%

NVIDIA

$8M Vol.

$464K today

$946K Liq.

79

Ends in about 2 months

Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

77%

NVIDIA

$527K Vol.

$213K today

$338K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

72%

Anthropic

$5M Vol.

$170K today

$849K Liq.

61

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

80%

Anthropic

$135K Vol.

$77.9K today

$115K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

53%

NVIDIA

$2M Vol.

$62.5K today

$398K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

63%

Anthropic

$29.7K Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

2nd largest company end of May?

2nd largest company end of May?

70%

Alphabet

$25.5K Vol.

$32.9K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

3rd largest company end of May?

3rd largest company end of May?

90%

Apple

$10.2K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Microsoft.

Polymarket currently hosts 153 active markets for Microsoft that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Bill Gates charged by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Bill Gates charged by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Largest Company end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Largest Company end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 66% chance to NVIDIA. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Microsoft predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.