Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?

Name: Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?
Start: 2026-05-01T13:30:00.000Z
End: 2026-05-01T20:00:00.000Z

Finance·AAPL

Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?

May 1

May 4

May 1

May 4

NEW

May 1, 2026

$260

$199 Vol.

99%

$265

$556 Vol.

99%

$270

$491 Vol.

99%

$275

$108 Vol.

96%

$280

$407 Vol.

78%

$1,761 Vol.

$260

$199 Vol.

99%

$265

$556 Vol.

99%

$270

$491 Vol.

99%

$275

$108 Vol.

96%

$280

$407 Vol.

78%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple Inc. (AAPL) on May 1 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$260" at 99%, followed by "$265" at 99%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?" is "$260" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$265" at 99%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 99¢ for "$260" in the "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 99% chance that "$260" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 99¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 1¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 1, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?" market has a growing discussion of 3 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?

Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (3)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?"?

What are the current odds for "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?"?

How will "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?"?

What does a price of 99¢ for "$260" mean?

When does the "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 1?"?

What is Polymarket?