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Likud predictions & odds

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Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

41%

35+

$82 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

73%

$25 Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

12%

$636 Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

32%

$448 Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

14%

$722 Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

9%

May 31

$803K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

45

Ends in 30 days

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

44%

$21 Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M Vol.

$55.6K today

$194K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?

Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?

16%

$534 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

41%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$6M Vol.

$120K today

$593K Liq.

201

Ends in 8 months

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

34%

3

$7M Vol.

$354K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

12%

$234K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

43%

$28.4K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

76%

No Change

$516 Vol.

$658 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

19%

$172K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

14%

June 30

$929K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

22

Ends in about 2 months

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

51%

Decrease

$24.6K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

84%

600+

$14.3K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

77%

December 31, 2027

$466K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

32

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Likud.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Likud that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel Election: Likud # of seats?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $135.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Likud predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.