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Economy·Interest Rate

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

icon for Bank of Israel Decision in May?
Economy·Interest Rate

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

May 25

Jul 6

May 25

Jul 6

No Change 52%

Decrease 49%

Increase 1.1%

Polymarket

$24,820 Vol.

No Change 52%

Decrease 49%

Increase 1.1%

Polymarket

$24,820 Vol.

Decrease

$6,169 Vol.

49%

No Change

$14,517 Vol.

52%

Increase

$4,134 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders have priced a razor-thin implied probability of 51.5% for no change in the Bank of Israel's May 25 benchmark interest rate at 4.00%, nearly matched by 48.5% odds of a 25 basis point decrease, reflecting dueling forces of cooling inflation and entrenched risks. March 2026 CPI eased unexpectedly to 1.9% year-over-year—within the 1-3% target—bolstered by a 7% shekel strengthening against the USD and low unemployment near 3%, fueling cut bets. Countering this, ongoing Iran conflict escalation since February, fiscal budget delays, and a March economic activity index dip of 0.2% sustain hold sentiment, per recent BoI statements and staff forecasts projecting 3.8% GDP growth amid uncertainty. April CPI and activity data will be pivotal swing factors ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$24,820
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders have priced a razor-thin implied probability of 51.5% for no change in the Bank of Israel's May 25 benchmark interest rate at 4.00%, nearly matched by 48.5% odds of a 25 basis point decrease, reflecting dueling forces of cooling inflation and entrenched risks. March 2026 CPI eased unexpectedly to 1.9% year-over-year—within the 1-3% target—bolstered by a 7% shekel strengthening against the USD and low unemployment near 3%, fueling cut bets. Countering this, ongoing Iran conflict escalation since February, fiscal budget delays, and a March economic activity index dip of 0.2% sustain hold sentiment, per recent BoI statements and staff forecasts projecting 3.8% GDP growth amid uncertainty. April CPI and activity data will be pivotal swing factors ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$24,820
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bank of Israel Decision in May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Change" at 52%, followed by "Decrease" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bank of Israel Decision in May?" has generated $24.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bank of Israel Decision in May?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bank of Israel Decision in May?" is "No Change" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Decrease" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bank of Israel Decision in May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.