Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro and Deep Think variants maintain a clear lead in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, including strong MATH, AIME, GPQA Diamond, and IMO-level results plus autonomous novel proof generation through the Aletheia system, driving the 65.5% market-implied odds. Anthropic's Claude Opus releases deliver competitive multi-step and agentic performance that supports its 27.5% share, while OpenAI's GPT-5 series excels in select abstract tasks yet trails on consistent math-specific evaluations. These probabilities aggregate trader assessments of verified benchmark leadership and model releases over recent months, with resolution at end of June turning on any final capability demonstrations before the cutoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhich company has the best Math AI model end of June?
Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?
Google 66%
Anthropic 28%
OpenAI 9%
Z.ai 1.8%
$51,134 Vol.
$51,134 Vol.
30 jun 2026
66%
Anthropic
28%
OpenAI
9%
Z.ai
2%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Meta
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Google 66%
Anthropic 28%
OpenAI 9%
Z.ai 1.8%
$51,134 Vol.
$51,134 Vol.
30 jun 2026
$7,142 Vol.
66%
Anthropic
$6,565 Vol.
28%
OpenAI
$4,337 Vol.
9%
Z.ai
$3,299 Vol.
2%
Baidu
$2,391 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$2,866 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$3,084 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$2,343 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$3,384 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$2,296 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$2,595 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$2,154 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,980 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$2,286 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$3,411 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro and Deep Think variants maintain a clear lead in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, including strong MATH, AIME, GPQA Diamond, and IMO-level results plus autonomous novel proof generation through the Aletheia system, driving the 65.5% market-implied odds. Anthropic's Claude Opus releases deliver competitive multi-step and agentic performance that supports its 27.5% share, while OpenAI's GPT-5 series excels in select abstract tasks yet trails on consistent math-specific evaluations. These probabilities aggregate trader assessments of verified benchmark leadership and model releases over recent months, with resolution at end of June turning on any final capability demonstrations before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volumen
$51,134Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro and Deep Think variants maintain a clear lead in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, including strong MATH, AIME, GPQA Diamond, and IMO-level results plus autonomous novel proof generation through the Aletheia system, driving the 65.5% market-implied odds. Anthropic's Claude Opus releases deliver competitive multi-step and agentic performance that supports its 27.5% share, while OpenAI's GPT-5 series excels in select abstract tasks yet trails on consistent math-specific evaluations. These probabilities aggregate trader assessments of verified benchmark leadership and model releases over recent months, with resolution at end of June turning on any final capability demonstrations before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$51,134Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro and Deep Think variants maintain a clear lead in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, including strong MATH, AIME, GPQA Diamond, and IMO-level results plus autonomous novel proof generation through the Aletheia system, driving the 65.5% market-implied odds. Anthropic's Claude Opus releases deliver competitive multi-step and agentic performance that supports its 27.5% share, while OpenAI's GPT-5 series excels in select abstract tasks yet trails on consistent math-specific evaluations. These probabilities aggregate trader assessments of verified benchmark leadership and model releases over recent months, with resolution at end of June turning on any final capability demonstrations before the cutoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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