Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 51% probability that Waymo will operate robotaxis in 11 cities by June 30, reflecting momentum from its recent expansion to 10 U.S. cities after public launches in Miami and Orlando on April 15, alongside earlier 2026 rollouts in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and others. This positions 11 as the leader due to Waymo's accelerated geographic expansion, backed by over 500,000 weekly paid rides and strong safety data from 200 million autonomous miles, outpacing rivals like Tesla. Upcoming catalysts include potential summer debuts in Las Vegas or San Diego, pending local regulatory approvals, though delays in mapping or permits could cap at 10 (13%) or drop to 9 (16%). Uncertainties persist around per-city deployment timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado11 53%
9 13.2%
10 13%
12+ 11%
$147,472 Vol.
$147,472 Vol.
≤5
1%
6
2%
7
8%
8
4%
9
13%
10
13%
11
53%
12+
11%
11 53%
9 13.2%
10 13%
12+ 11%
$147,472 Vol.
$147,472 Vol.
≤5
1%
6
2%
7
8%
8
4%
9
13%
10
13%
11
53%
12+
11%
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 51% probability that Waymo will operate robotaxis in 11 cities by June 30, reflecting momentum from its recent expansion to 10 U.S. cities after public launches in Miami and Orlando on April 15, alongside earlier 2026 rollouts in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and others. This positions 11 as the leader due to Waymo's accelerated geographic expansion, backed by over 500,000 weekly paid rides and strong safety data from 200 million autonomous miles, outpacing rivals like Tesla. Upcoming catalysts include potential summer debuts in Las Vegas or San Diego, pending local regulatory approvals, though delays in mapping or permits could cap at 10 (13%) or drop to 9 (16%). Uncertainties persist around per-city deployment timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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