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Banks predictions & odds

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Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

6%

Wells Fargo

$519K Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

8%

KeyBank

$23.5K Vol.

$63.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

84%

$57 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

US bank failure by June 30?

US bank failure by June 30?

28%

$4.9K Vol.

$956 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

14%

$3.6K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

49%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

132

Ends in 7 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 5?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 5?

99%

$725

$4.2K Vol.

$36.8K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

46%

$1.3B

$189 Vol.

$472 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in June 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in June 2026?

71%

↓ $304

$11.9K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

59%

$34.5K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

What price will BNB hit in June?

What price will BNB hit in June?

40%

↓ 500

$11.7K Vol.

$59.0K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above __?

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above __?

93%

$1.9B

$1.1K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

78%

50

$20.7K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

96%

$2.1B

$1.1K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

97%

$2.7B

$2.8K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?

63%

↓ $208

$47.1K Vol.

$48.8K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

97%

25 bps Increase

$666K Vol.

$140K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

12%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$320 Liq.

10

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

87%

↑ 65,000

$6M Vol.

$2M today

$992K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$491K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Banks.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Banks that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which banks will fail by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US bank failure by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 87% chance to ↑ 65,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Banks predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.