Tesla shares closed at 418.45 on June 4, 2026, following a 1.24% decline amid mixed sentiment on robotaxi expansion in Austin and broader EV market dynamics. Q1 results showed revenue of 22.39 billion and a 17% year-over-year rise in net income to 477 million, though deliveries and sequential trends lagged expectations, with 2026 capital expenditure guided above 25 billion and free cash flow projected negative for the balance of the year. Traders are weighing autonomy progress against competitive pressures from Waymo and regulatory factors, with the next earnings release scheduled for July 22 and analyst consensus targets clustered near 407. Market-implied odds for the June 5 close reflect these near-term catalysts and ongoing volatility in the 415–430 range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
$12,512 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
$400
99%
$410
65%
$420
38%
$430
28%
$440
1%
$12,512 Vol.
$400
$15 Vol.
99%
$410
$0 Vol.
65%
$420
$12,496 Vol.
38%
$430
$1 Vol.
28%
$440
$24 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on June 5 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed at 418.45 on June 4, 2026, following a 1.24% decline amid mixed sentiment on robotaxi expansion in Austin and broader EV market dynamics. Q1 results showed revenue of 22.39 billion and a 17% year-over-year rise in net income to 477 million, though deliveries and sequential trends lagged expectations, with 2026 capital expenditure guided above 25 billion and free cash flow projected negative for the balance of the year. Traders are weighing autonomy progress against competitive pressures from Waymo and regulatory factors, with the next earnings release scheduled for July 22 and analyst consensus targets clustered near 407. Market-implied odds for the June 5 close reflect these near-term catalysts and ongoing volatility in the 415–430 range.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on June 5 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Jun 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$12,512End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on June 5 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed at 418.45 on June 4, 2026, following a 1.24% decline amid mixed sentiment on robotaxi expansion in Austin and broader EV market dynamics. Q1 results showed revenue of 22.39 billion and a 17% year-over-year rise in net income to 477 million, though deliveries and sequential trends lagged expectations, with 2026 capital expenditure guided above 25 billion and free cash flow projected negative for the balance of the year. Traders are weighing autonomy progress against competitive pressures from Waymo and regulatory factors, with the next earnings release scheduled for July 22 and analyst consensus targets clustered near 407. Market-implied odds for the June 5 close reflect these near-term catalysts and ongoing volatility in the 415–430 range.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on June 5 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$12,512End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla shares closed at 418.45 on June 4, 2026, following a 1.24% decline amid mixed sentiment on robotaxi expansion in Austin and broader EV market dynamics. Q1 results showed revenue of 22.39 billion and a 17% year-over-year rise in net income to 477 million, though deliveries and sequential trends lagged expectations, with 2026 capital expenditure guided above 25 billion and free cash flow projected negative for the balance of the year. Traders are weighing autonomy progress against competitive pressures from Waymo and regulatory factors, with the next earnings release scheduled for July 22 and analyst consensus targets clustered near 407. Market-implied odds for the June 5 close reflect these near-term catalysts and ongoing volatility in the 415–430 range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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