Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven WTI crude sharply higher, with prices trading near $93–$95 per barrel as of early June 2026 amid 8.5 million barrel per day inventory draws in Q2. These factors have elevated near-term benchmarks well above pre-conflict levels, consistent with EIA projections for Brent averaging around $106 through June before anticipated moderation. Trader sentiment reflects sustained tightness in physical balances, tempered by expectations for gradual resumption of Middle East flows. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting, weekly EIA inventory data, and any diplomatic developments on Hormuz reopenings that could shift futures curves and volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$965,641 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
5%
↑ $120
10%
↑ $125
6%
↑ $115
14%
↑ $110
26%
↑ $105
37%
↑ $100
56%
↓ $70
6%
↓ $90
87%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $85
64%
↓ $80
43%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $75
17%
↓ $30
<1%
↓ $65
2%
↓ $20
<1%
$965,641 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
5%
↑ $120
10%
↑ $125
6%
↑ $115
14%
↑ $110
26%
↑ $105
37%
↑ $100
56%
↓ $70
6%
↓ $90
87%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $85
64%
↓ $80
43%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $75
17%
↓ $30
<1%
↓ $65
2%
↓ $20
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Market Opened: May 29, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven WTI crude sharply higher, with prices trading near $93–$95 per barrel as of early June 2026 amid 8.5 million barrel per day inventory draws in Q2. These factors have elevated near-term benchmarks well above pre-conflict levels, consistent with EIA projections for Brent averaging around $106 through June before anticipated moderation. Trader sentiment reflects sustained tightness in physical balances, tempered by expectations for gradual resumption of Middle East flows. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting, weekly EIA inventory data, and any diplomatic developments on Hormuz reopenings that could shift futures curves and volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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