Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy posting 60-79 times on X from April 24 to May 1, 2026, at 91.5 implied probability, reflecting his consistent weekly pace of roughly 8-11 posts per day amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, including bilingual updates on military strikes, sanctions packages against Belarusian entities and Russia's shadow fleet, prisoner exchanges, drone production scaling, and intelligence reports on Russian losses. Recent developments like Zelenskyy's April 30 directive to clarify Russia's short-term ceasefire proposal via U.S. channels—potentially tied to Moscow's May 9 parade—have sustained steady but not accelerated activity through April 29-30, with about 50 posts logged so far and two days remaining. A commanding lead stems from historical base rates in similar weekly markets resolving in this range; challenges would require an improbable 30+ post surge from escalation, major diplomatic breakthroughs, or intensive frontline reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZelenskyy # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?
Zelenskyy # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?
60-79 91%
80-99 9%
40-59 <1%
140-159 <1%
$16,578 Vol.
$16,578 Vol.
May 1, 2026
40-59
1%
60-79
91%
80-99
9%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
60-79 91%
80-99 9%
40-59 <1%
140-159 <1%
$16,578 Vol.
$16,578 Vol.
May 1, 2026
40-59
$9,738 Vol.
1%
60-79
$1,117 Vol.
91%
80-99
$484 Vol.
9%
100-119
$2,186 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$712 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$1,490 Vol.
1%
160-179
$652 Vol.
<1%
180-199
$861 Vol.
<1%
200+
$1,504 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy posting 60-79 times on X from April 24 to May 1, 2026, at 91.5 implied probability, reflecting his consistent weekly pace of roughly 8-11 posts per day amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, including bilingual updates on military strikes, sanctions packages against Belarusian entities and Russia's shadow fleet, prisoner exchanges, drone production scaling, and intelligence reports on Russian losses. Recent developments like Zelenskyy's April 30 directive to clarify Russia's short-term ceasefire proposal via U.S. channels—potentially tied to Moscow's May 9 parade—have sustained steady but not accelerated activity through April 29-30, with about 50 posts logged so far and two days remaining. A commanding lead stems from historical base rates in similar weekly markets resolving in this range; challenges would require an improbable 30+ post surge from escalation, major diplomatic breakthroughs, or intensive frontline reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$16,578End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy posting 60-79 times on X from April 24 to May 1, 2026, at 91.5 implied probability, reflecting his consistent weekly pace of roughly 8-11 posts per day amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, including bilingual updates on military strikes, sanctions packages against Belarusian entities and Russia's shadow fleet, prisoner exchanges, drone production scaling, and intelligence reports on Russian losses. Recent developments like Zelenskyy's April 30 directive to clarify Russia's short-term ceasefire proposal via U.S. channels—potentially tied to Moscow's May 9 parade—have sustained steady but not accelerated activity through April 29-30, with about 50 posts logged so far and two days remaining. A commanding lead stems from historical base rates in similar weekly markets resolving in this range; challenges would require an improbable 30+ post surge from escalation, major diplomatic breakthroughs, or intensive frontline reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$16,578End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy posting 60-79 times on X from April 24 to May 1, 2026, at 91.5 implied probability, reflecting his consistent weekly pace of roughly 8-11 posts per day amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, including bilingual updates on military strikes, sanctions packages against Belarusian entities and Russia's shadow fleet, prisoner exchanges, drone production scaling, and intelligence reports on Russian losses. Recent developments like Zelenskyy's April 30 directive to clarify Russia's short-term ceasefire proposal via U.S. channels—potentially tied to Moscow's May 9 parade—have sustained steady but not accelerated activity through April 29-30, with about 50 posts logged so far and two days remaining. A commanding lead stems from historical base rates in similar weekly markets resolving in this range; challenges would require an improbable 30+ post surge from escalation, major diplomatic breakthroughs, or intensive frontline reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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