Expanded VAR protocols at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including reviews of incorrectly awarded corner kicks, clearly mistaken second yellow cards, and mistaken identity incidents, represent the primary driver of trader expectations for overturn volume. Semi-automated offside technology with AI-assisted 3D tracking and real-time alerts enables faster, more frequent checks across the expanded 48-team format and its 104 matches. Historical benchmarks from the 2022 tournament (25 overturns from 27 interventions) provide context, though the new scope and additional set-piece clarifications could elevate intervention rates without introducing delays. Referee preparation seminars and stricter anti-time-wasting measures may moderate total reviews, while the low-scoring nature of knockout-stage matches heightens the impact of any confirmed changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWorld Cup: Number of VAR Decision Overturns
World Cup: Number of VAR Decision Overturns
NEW
Jul 20, 2026
5+ Overturns
94%
10+ Overturns
87%
15+ Overturns
50%
20+ Overturns
50%
$2 Vol.
5+ Overturns
$1 Vol.
94%
10+ Overturns
$0 Vol.
87%
15+ Overturns
$1 Vol.
50%
20+ Overturns
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of on-field decisions overturned following a Video Assistant Referee (VAR) review during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count.
Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.Expanded VAR protocols at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including reviews of incorrectly awarded corner kicks, clearly mistaken second yellow cards, and mistaken identity incidents, represent the primary driver of trader expectations for overturn volume. Semi-automated offside technology with AI-assisted 3D tracking and real-time alerts enables faster, more frequent checks across the expanded 48-team format and its 104 matches. Historical benchmarks from the 2022 tournament (25 overturns from 27 interventions) provide context, though the new scope and additional set-piece clarifications could elevate intervention rates without introducing delays. Referee preparation seminars and stricter anti-time-wasting measures may moderate total reviews, while the low-scoring nature of knockout-stage matches heightens the impact of any confirmed changes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of on-field decisions overturned following a Video Assistant Referee (VAR) review during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count.
Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.
A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count.
Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Volume
$2End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of on-field decisions overturned following a Video Assistant Referee (VAR) review during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count.
Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.Expanded VAR protocols at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including reviews of incorrectly awarded corner kicks, clearly mistaken second yellow cards, and mistaken identity incidents, represent the primary driver of trader expectations for overturn volume. Semi-automated offside technology with AI-assisted 3D tracking and real-time alerts enables faster, more frequent checks across the expanded 48-team format and its 104 matches. Historical benchmarks from the 2022 tournament (25 overturns from 27 interventions) provide context, though the new scope and additional set-piece clarifications could elevate intervention rates without introducing delays. Referee preparation seminars and stricter anti-time-wasting measures may moderate total reviews, while the low-scoring nature of knockout-stage matches heightens the impact of any confirmed changes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of on-field decisions overturned following a Video Assistant Referee (VAR) review during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count.
Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.
A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count.
Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.
Volume
$2End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Expanded VAR protocols at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including reviews of incorrectly awarded corner kicks, clearly mistaken second yellow cards, and mistaken identity incidents, represent the primary driver of trader expectations for overturn volume. Semi-automated offside technology with AI-assisted 3D tracking and real-time alerts enables faster, more frequent checks across the expanded 48-team format and its 104 matches. Historical benchmarks from the 2022 tournament (25 overturns from 27 interventions) provide context, though the new scope and additional set-piece clarifications could elevate intervention rates without introducing delays. Referee preparation seminars and stricter anti-time-wasting measures may moderate total reviews, while the low-scoring nature of knockout-stage matches heightens the impact of any confirmed changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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