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World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken?

icon for World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken?

World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken?

6% chance
Polymarket
NEW
6% chance
Polymarket
NEW
Note: Current record 11 seconds (Hakan Sukur, Turkey vs. South Korea, 2002.) This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 11 seconds from kick-off in any match across the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or FIFA has not acknowledged that the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 11-second record set by Hakan Şükür in 2002 remains an extreme outlier in World Cup history, with no subsequent tournament producing a goal inside the first 20 seconds across dozens of opening matches. Teams routinely prioritize compact defensive shapes and controlled build-up from kickoff rather than high-risk, high-reward presses, while modern goalkeepers and backlines have improved at clearing early threats. The 2026 edition’s expanded 48-team, 104-match format increases total opportunities yet does little to alter these tactical realities or the low base rate of such instantaneous scoring. Trader consensus at 92% for No reflects this consistent historical pattern and absence of any structural shift that would meaningfully elevate the chance of a record-breaking strike.

Note: Current record 11 seconds (Hakan Sukur, Turkey vs. South Korea, 2002.)

This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 11 seconds from kick-off in any match across the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or FIFA has not acknowledged that the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Note: Current record 11 seconds (Hakan Sukur, Turkey vs. South Korea, 2002.) This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 11 seconds from kick-off in any match across the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or FIFA has not acknowledged that the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Current record 11 seconds (Hakan Sukur, Turkey vs. South Korea, 2002.) This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 11 seconds from kick-off in any match across the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or FIFA has not acknowledged that the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 11-second record set by Hakan Şükür in 2002 remains an extreme outlier in World Cup history, with no subsequent tournament producing a goal inside the first 20 seconds across dozens of opening matches. Teams routinely prioritize compact defensive shapes and controlled build-up from kickoff rather than high-risk, high-reward presses, while modern goalkeepers and backlines have improved at clearing early threats. The 2026 edition’s expanded 48-team, 104-match format increases total opportunities yet does little to alter these tactical realities or the low base rate of such instantaneous scoring. Trader consensus at 92% for No reflects this consistent historical pattern and absence of any structural shift that would meaningfully elevate the chance of a record-breaking strike.

Note: Current record 11 seconds (Hakan Sukur, Turkey vs. South Korea, 2002.)

This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 11 seconds from kick-off in any match across the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or FIFA has not acknowledged that the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Note: Current record 11 seconds (Hakan Sukur, Turkey vs. South Korea, 2002.) This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 11 seconds from kick-off in any match across the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or FIFA has not acknowledged that the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 6% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 6¢, the market collectively assigns a 6% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken?" is 6% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 6% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Fastest Goal Record Broken?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.