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World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?

icon for World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?

World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?

86% chance
Polymarket
NEW
86% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty shootout goals do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup's expansion to 48 teams and 104 matches sharply increases total scoring opportunities compared with prior editions limited to 64 games. Historical data shows 54 hat-tricks across World Cup history, including multiple instances in high-volume tournaments like 1954, while only one edition produced none. Prolific forwards from leading sides enter with strong recent club and international form, aided by prevalent attacking approaches and projected goal totals well above 200. These structural and stylistic elements underpin the 86% implied probability that at least one player achieves a hat-trick during the group stage or knockout rounds.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty
shootout goals do not count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$904
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty shootout goals do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty shootout goals do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup's expansion to 48 teams and 104 matches sharply increases total scoring opportunities compared with prior editions limited to 64 games. Historical data shows 54 hat-tricks across World Cup history, including multiple instances in high-volume tournaments like 1954, while only one edition produced none. Prolific forwards from leading sides enter with strong recent club and international form, aided by prevalent attacking approaches and projected goal totals well above 200. These structural and stylistic elements underpin the 86% implied probability that at least one player achieves a hat-trick during the group stage or knockout rounds.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty
shootout goals do not count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$904
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty shootout goals do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 86% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 86¢, the market collectively assigns a 86% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?" is 86% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 86% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.