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Sports·FIFA World Cup

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

icon for Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?
Sports·FIFA World Cup

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

37% chance
Polymarket
NEW
37% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Argentina and Portugal occupy separate groups in the 2026 World Cup bracket, requiring both nations to advance through multiple knockout rounds before any on-pitch meeting becomes possible. Messi and Ronaldo have never faced each other in World Cup competition across their combined five prior appearances, with their last international encounter occurring in a 2014 friendly. Recent form shows both players managing club workloads ahead of the tournament, yet no confirmed reports indicate planned joint appearances, pre-match ceremonies, or off-field interactions. Trader consensus pricing the “No” outcome at 69% reflects the low likelihood of their paths crossing amid uncertain advancement scenarios and the longstanding professional distance between the two stars.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Argentina and Portugal occupy separate groups in the 2026 World Cup bracket, requiring both nations to advance through multiple knockout rounds before any on-pitch meeting becomes possible. Messi and Ronaldo have never faced each other in World Cup competition across their combined five prior appearances, with their last international encounter occurring in a 2014 friendly. Recent form shows both players managing club workloads ahead of the tournament, yet no confirmed reports indicate planned joint appearances, pre-match ceremonies, or off-field interactions. Trader consensus pricing the “No” outcome at 69% reflects the low likelihood of their paths crossing amid uncertain advancement scenarios and the longstanding professional distance between the two stars.

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$41
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo are observed physically shaking hands with one another at any point during the 2026 FIFA World Cup window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The 'handshake' must occur while the listed players are on the pitch or the bench area; handshakes in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no qualifying handshake can be confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 29% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 29¢, the market collectively assigns a 29% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?" is 29% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 29% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.