Figure AI’s ongoing 24/7 livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages on a conveyor using the Helix-02 vision-language-action model has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment ahead of the May 21 deadline. Recent continuous runs exceeding 144 hours with over 179,000 packages processed demonstrate sustained visuo-motor reliability and near-human speeds of two to three seconds per item, far beyond typical short-duration demos. Production scaling at the BotQ facility—now yielding one unit per hour and over 350 robots total—could enable additional units or extended runtime before resolution. Any observed pauses, speed shifts, or operational adjustments in the live feed will directly influence outcomes, while the demonstrated endurance edge over human workers in long shifts continues to shape expectations for uninterrupted operation through the final 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
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May 21, 2026
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May 21, 2026
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s ongoing 24/7 livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages on a conveyor using the Helix-02 vision-language-action model has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment ahead of the May 21 deadline. Recent continuous runs exceeding 144 hours with over 179,000 packages processed demonstrate sustained visuo-motor reliability and near-human speeds of two to three seconds per item, far beyond typical short-duration demos. Production scaling at the BotQ facility—now yielding one unit per hour and over 350 robots total—could enable additional units or extended runtime before resolution. Any observed pauses, speed shifts, or operational adjustments in the live feed will directly influence outcomes, while the demonstrated endurance edge over human workers in long shifts continues to shape expectations for uninterrupted operation through the final 48 hours.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
Volume
$22End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkakResolver
0x65070BE91...Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s ongoing 24/7 livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages on a conveyor using the Helix-02 vision-language-action model has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment ahead of the May 21 deadline. Recent continuous runs exceeding 144 hours with over 179,000 packages processed demonstrate sustained visuo-motor reliability and near-human speeds of two to three seconds per item, far beyond typical short-duration demos. Production scaling at the BotQ facility—now yielding one unit per hour and over 350 robots total—could enable additional units or extended runtime before resolution. Any observed pauses, speed shifts, or operational adjustments in the live feed will directly influence outcomes, while the demonstrated endurance edge over human workers in long shifts continues to shape expectations for uninterrupted operation through the final 48 hours.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkakResolver
0x65070BE91...Figure AI’s ongoing 24/7 livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages on a conveyor using the Helix-02 vision-language-action model has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment ahead of the May 21 deadline. Recent continuous runs exceeding 144 hours with over 179,000 packages processed demonstrate sustained visuo-motor reliability and near-human speeds of two to three seconds per item, far beyond typical short-duration demos. Production scaling at the BotQ facility—now yielding one unit per hour and over 350 robots total—could enable additional units or extended runtime before resolution. Any observed pauses, speed shifts, or operational adjustments in the live feed will directly influence outcomes, while the demonstrated endurance edge over human workers in long shifts continues to shape expectations for uninterrupted operation through the final 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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