Skip to main content
icon for # of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

icon for # of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

NEW
May 21, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

200,000+

$0 Vol.

28%

250,000+

$10 Vol.

50%

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI's F.03 humanoid robots captured trader attention with a May 13 live-streamed 8-hour autonomous shift demo using Helix-02 AI, where a team sorted and pushed packages at rates exceeding 1,300 per hour per robot—equating to over 11,000 daily—tracked via an on-screen counter. This follows April's BotQ factory ramp-up to one F.03 per hour, enabling fleet scaling toward 100,000 units annually, amid competitive pressure from Tesla Optimus and 1X Neo in warehouse automation. Traders eye total packages pushed by May 21's 10 PM ET deadline, hinging on demo extensions, reliability in deformable object handling, and real-world uptime; any multi-robot endurance runs or production deployments could surge counts, while glitches might cap them.

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
May 21, 2026
Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI's F.03 humanoid robots captured trader attention with a May 13 live-streamed 8-hour autonomous shift demo using Helix-02 AI, where a team sorted and pushed packages at rates exceeding 1,300 per hour per robot—equating to over 11,000 daily—tracked via an on-screen counter. This follows April's BotQ factory ramp-up to one F.03 per hour, enabling fleet scaling toward 100,000 units annually, amid competitive pressure from Tesla Optimus and 1X Neo in warehouse automation. Traders eye total packages pushed by May 21's 10 PM ET deadline, hinging on demo extensions, reliability in deformable object handling, and real-world uptime; any multi-robot endurance runs or production deployments could surge counts, while glitches might cap them.

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
May 21, 2026
Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "250,000+" at 50%, followed by "200,000+" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?" is "250,000+" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "200,000+" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.