President Trump's confirmed phone call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on April 26, 2026—verified by her public X announcement and consensus credible reporting—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on her as the outcome, with Yes shares trading at 99.9¢ amid $676,000 in volume. The discussion covered transatlantic trade negotiations, NATO security cooperation, and fallout from the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident, amid heightened U.S.-EU tensions over Iran-related Strait of Hormuz disruptions and alliance burden-sharing. No other listed figures, such as Volodymyr Zelenskyy or Elon Musk, have seen verified verbal interactions this month. The market awaits final resolution by April 30, 11:59 PM ET, potentially addressing any disputes via Polymarket review.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,866,217 Vol.

Ursula von der Leyen
100%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
6%

Maria Corina Machado
3%

Masoud Pezeshkian
3%

Reza Pahlavi
3%

Elon Musk
3%

Pope Leo XIV
2%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
2%

Kim Jong Un
1%

Xi Jinping
1%

Lula da Silva
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
$1,866,217 Vol.

Ursula von der Leyen
100%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
6%

Maria Corina Machado
3%

Masoud Pezeshkian
3%

Reza Pahlavi
3%

Elon Musk
3%

Pope Leo XIV
2%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
2%

Kim Jong Un
1%

Xi Jinping
1%

Lula da Silva
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's confirmed phone call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on April 26, 2026—verified by her public X announcement and consensus credible reporting—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on her as the outcome, with Yes shares trading at 99.9¢ amid $676,000 in volume. The discussion covered transatlantic trade negotiations, NATO security cooperation, and fallout from the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident, amid heightened U.S.-EU tensions over Iran-related Strait of Hormuz disruptions and alliance burden-sharing. No other listed figures, such as Volodymyr Zelenskyy or Elon Musk, have seen verified verbal interactions this month. The market awaits final resolution by April 30, 11:59 PM ET, potentially addressing any disputes via Polymarket review.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions