Firecracker's shocking impalement death at Homelander's hands in The Boys Season 5 Episode 5, which streamed April 29 on Prime Video, has locked in trader consensus at 99% for her demise, reflecting the final season's escalating body count since A-Train's premiere execution. High implied probabilities for Frenchie (92%), Billy Butcher (90%), and Sister Sage (93%) stem from showrunner Eric Kripke's teases of brutal sacrifices, Soldier Boy's ambiguous survival, and comic parallels signaling endgame chaos among core Boys and Vought supes. With three episodes left through the May 20 finale, weekly drops and cast interviews like Karl Urban's death hints could spark momentum shifts, underscoring prediction markets' edge in aggregating real-money bets on unpredictable plot twists.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWho will die in The Boys: Season 5?
Who will die in The Boys: Season 5?
$278,731 Vol.
Firecracker
99%
Frenchie
91%
Billy Butcher
89%
Homelander
75%
The Deep
66%
Sister Sage
56%
Mother's Milk
41%
Kimiko Miyashiro
31%
Soldier Boy
35%
Ryan Butcher
22%
Annie January (Starlight)
21%
Hughie Campbell
16%
Ashley Barrett
24%
$278,731 Vol.
Firecracker
99%
Frenchie
91%
Billy Butcher
89%
Homelander
75%
The Deep
66%
Sister Sage
56%
Mother's Milk
41%
Kimiko Miyashiro
31%
Soldier Boy
35%
Ryan Butcher
22%
Annie January (Starlight)
21%
Hughie Campbell
16%
Ashley Barrett
24%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "The Boys: Season 5". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "The Boys: Season 5" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead before "The Boys: Season 5" begins will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "The Boys: Season 5" will qualify.
Only events depicted in official "The Boys: Season 5" episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the final episode of "The Boys: Season 5" is released.
Market Opened: Mar 5, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "The Boys: Season 5". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "The Boys: Season 5" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead before "The Boys: Season 5" begins will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "The Boys: Season 5" will qualify.
Only events depicted in official "The Boys: Season 5" episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the final episode of "The Boys: Season 5" is released.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Firecracker's shocking impalement death at Homelander's hands in The Boys Season 5 Episode 5, which streamed April 29 on Prime Video, has locked in trader consensus at 99% for her demise, reflecting the final season's escalating body count since A-Train's premiere execution. High implied probabilities for Frenchie (92%), Billy Butcher (90%), and Sister Sage (93%) stem from showrunner Eric Kripke's teases of brutal sacrifices, Soldier Boy's ambiguous survival, and comic parallels signaling endgame chaos among core Boys and Vought supes. With three episodes left through the May 20 finale, weekly drops and cast interviews like Karl Urban's death hints could spark momentum shifts, underscoring prediction markets' edge in aggregating real-money bets on unpredictable plot twists.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions