Talks between US special envoy Steve Witkoff, advisor Jared Kushner, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi alongside Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf stalled after a recent high-level round in Islamabad, Pakistan, leaving the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting's attendees uncertain amid ongoing phone diplomacy and mutual recriminations. Iranian FM Araghchi blamed Washington for failures during his April 27 visit to Moscow for talks with Putin, while President Trump noted April 29 phone discussions focused on curbing Iran's nuclear program and missile capabilities, with no new in-person date confirmed. Sticking points include Iran's 450kg of highly enriched uranium and Strait of Hormuz access; traders watch for escalation signals or breakthroughs that could elevate participants like Vice President JD Vance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,101,076 Vol.
Donald Trump
2%
Marco Rubio
6%
J.D. Vance
43%
Jared Kushner
61%
Steve Witkoff
64%
$1,101,076 Vol.
Donald Trump
2%
Marco Rubio
6%
J.D. Vance
43%
Jared Kushner
61%
Steve Witkoff
64%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Talks between US special envoy Steve Witkoff, advisor Jared Kushner, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi alongside Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf stalled after a recent high-level round in Islamabad, Pakistan, leaving the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting's attendees uncertain amid ongoing phone diplomacy and mutual recriminations. Iranian FM Araghchi blamed Washington for failures during his April 27 visit to Moscow for talks with Putin, while President Trump noted April 29 phone discussions focused on curbing Iran's nuclear program and missile capabilities, with no new in-person date confirmed. Sticking points include Iran's 450kg of highly enriched uranium and Strait of Hormuz access; traders watch for escalation signals or breakthroughs that could elevate participants like Vice President JD Vance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions