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icon for Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

icon for Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

The Odyssey 53%

Wuthering Heights 16.0%

Dune: Messiah 16%

Disclosure Day 14%

Polymarket

$16,318 Vol.

The Odyssey 53%

Wuthering Heights 16.0%

Dune: Messiah 16%

Disclosure Day 14%

Polymarket

$16,318 Vol.

The Odyssey

$5,042 Vol.

53%

Wuthering Heights

$1,523 Vol.

16%

Dune: Messiah

$2,955 Vol.

16%

Disclosure Day

$2,662 Vol.

14%

Project Hail Mary

$2,295 Vol.

18%

The Bride!

$1,320 Vol.

<1%

The Social Reckoning

$240 Vol.

<1%

Wild Horse Nine

$281 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus crowns Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the frontrunner for most 99th Academy Awards nominations at 57% implied probability, propelled by Nolan's post-Oppenheimer prestige, a teaser trailer amassing 15 million views last December, and its top spot in early Best Picture predictions amid CinemaCon buzz last month. Emerald Fennell's Wuthering Heights follows at 23.4% on Margot Robbie and Jacob Elordi's acting momentum from its February release and instant precursor chatter. Project Hail Mary holds 20.2% after a strong March box office debut and Ryan Gosling's frontrunner buzz, while Dune: Messiah lingers at 15.5% on franchise technical sweep potential. Steven Spielberg's Disclosure Day climbed recently to 13% following new alien footage unveiled last week, but with key summer releases and fall festivals ahead, early positioning remains fluid in this wisdom-of-crowds market.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.

This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.

In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,318
End Date
Feb 28, 2027
Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus crowns Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the frontrunner for most 99th Academy Awards nominations at 57% implied probability, propelled by Nolan's post-Oppenheimer prestige, a teaser trailer amassing 15 million views last December, and its top spot in early Best Picture predictions amid CinemaCon buzz last month. Emerald Fennell's Wuthering Heights follows at 23.4% on Margot Robbie and Jacob Elordi's acting momentum from its February release and instant precursor chatter. Project Hail Mary holds 20.2% after a strong March box office debut and Ryan Gosling's frontrunner buzz, while Dune: Messiah lingers at 15.5% on franchise technical sweep potential. Steven Spielberg's Disclosure Day climbed recently to 13% following new alien footage unveiled last week, but with key summer releases and fall festivals ahead, early positioning remains fluid in this wisdom-of-crowds market.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.

This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.

In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,318
End Date
Feb 28, 2027
Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Odyssey" at 54%, followed by "Project Hail Mary" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?" has generated $16.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?" is "The Odyssey" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Project Hail Mary" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.