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icon for Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

icon for Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Jun 30

Jun 30

$100,560 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$100,560 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Railbird

Railbird

$9,083 Vol.

51%

icon for LedgerX

LedgerX

$6,981 Vol.

43%

icon for Aristotle

Aristotle

$18,079 Vol.

43%

icon for ForecastEx

ForecastEx

$9,860 Vol.

30%

icon for Small Exchange

Small Exchange

$1,387 Vol.

13%

icon for CBOE

CBOE

$2,733 Vol.

12%

icon for The Clearing Company

The Clearing Company

$2,773 Vol.

9%

icon for ICE

ICE

$30,063 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.CME Group's April 1 self-certification of sports event contracts—covering basketball, baseball, soccer, and golf parlays—marks a pivotal advancement for prediction markets on designated contract markets (DCMs), enabled by the CFTC's March 12 advisory withdrawing prior restrictions and outlining safeguards against manipulation in sports-related event contracts. The advisory stresses pre-self-certification talks with CFTC staff and leagues like MLB, which inked an MOU, while ANPRM comments due today (April 30) could refine oversight. No other DCMs, including Railbird, Aristotle, LedgerX, or ForecastEx, have filed at scale yet, leaving the June 30 deadline as a key catalyst for competitive entries amid trader focus on regulatory clarity and integrity protocols.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$100,560
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.CME Group's April 1 self-certification of sports event contracts—covering basketball, baseball, soccer, and golf parlays—marks a pivotal advancement for prediction markets on designated contract markets (DCMs), enabled by the CFTC's March 12 advisory withdrawing prior restrictions and outlining safeguards against manipulation in sports-related event contracts. The advisory stresses pre-self-certification talks with CFTC staff and leagues like MLB, which inked an MOU, while ANPRM comments due today (April 30) could refine oversight. No other DCMs, including Railbird, Aristotle, LedgerX, or ForecastEx, have filed at scale yet, leaving the June 30 deadline as a key catalyst for competitive entries amid trader focus on regulatory clarity and integrity protocols.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$100,560
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "CME" at 100%, followed by "Railbird" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" has generated $100.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" is "CME" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Railbird" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.