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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Apex 92%

Swapped 3.8%

Bugonia 2.9%

Den of Thieves 2.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Apex 92%

Swapped 3.8%

Bugonia 2.9%

Den of Thieves 2.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Apex

$1,907 Vol.

92%

Swapped

$131 Vol.

4%

Bugonia

$405 Vol.

3%

Den of Thieves

$405 Vol.

3%

Ari Shaffer: Jew

$405 Vol.

3%

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir

$345 Vol.

3%

The Proposal

$405 Vol.

3%

Roommates

$411 Vol.

3%

180

$400 Vol.

3%

Thrash

$411 Vol.

2%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Apex's explosive Netflix debut on April 24 as a Charlize Theron and Taron Egerton survival thriller propelled it to 38.2 million global views for the week ending April 26—the third-largest English film premiere of 2026—topping charts in 93 countries and holding #1 on daily FlixPatrol rankings through April 30. This dominant streaming performance and audience buzz cement trader consensus at an 88% implied probability for it retaining the top global Netflix movie position this week. Trailing contenders like Swapped (7.1%) reflect prior momentum, while Bugonia, Den of Thieves (May 1 release), and The Proposal (~5% each) show potential via catalog appeal or fresh drops but lack comparable metrics. Mid-week viewership updates and competition from Roommates and 180 could influence final tallies.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$5,225
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Apex's explosive Netflix debut on April 24 as a Charlize Theron and Taron Egerton survival thriller propelled it to 38.2 million global views for the week ending April 26—the third-largest English film premiere of 2026—topping charts in 93 countries and holding #1 on daily FlixPatrol rankings through April 30. This dominant streaming performance and audience buzz cement trader consensus at an 88% implied probability for it retaining the top global Netflix movie position this week. Trailing contenders like Swapped (7.1%) reflect prior momentum, while Bugonia, Den of Thieves (May 1 release), and The Proposal (~5% each) show potential via catalog appeal or fresh drops but lack comparable metrics. Mid-week viewership updates and competition from Roommates and 180 could influence final tallies.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$5,225
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apex" at 92%, followed by "Swapped" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is "Apex" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Swapped" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.