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¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?

icon for ¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?

¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?

20% probabilidad
Polymarket

$11,268 Vol.

20% probabilidad
Polymarket

$11,268 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly dismissed 2028 speculation in recent months, stating in May 2026 that he is focused solely on his current role and is “not a potential future candidate.” He and his wife have indicated any family discussion on a presidential bid will occur only after the November 2026 midterms, consistent with his earlier comments deferring talks with President Trump until then. No formal withdrawal from consideration has occurred, and Vance continues to appear in early-state events and polling as a leading Republican contender alongside figures such as Marco Rubio. These statements and scheduling decisions reinforce trader expectations that Vance will not announce he is ruling out a 2028 run before year-end, preserving flexibility amid ongoing midterm positioning and party dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$11,268
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly dismissed 2028 speculation in recent months, stating in May 2026 that he is focused solely on his current role and is “not a potential future candidate.” He and his wife have indicated any family discussion on a presidential bid will occur only after the November 2026 midterms, consistent with his earlier comments deferring talks with President Trump until then. No formal withdrawal from consideration has occurred, and Vance continues to appear in early-state events and polling as a leading Republican contender alongside figures such as Marco Rubio. These statements and scheduling decisions reinforce trader expectations that Vance will not announce he is ruling out a 2028 run before year-end, preserving flexibility amid ongoing midterm positioning and party dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$11,268
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 20¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?" ha generado $11.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?" es "¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?" con 20%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Vance anuncia que no se postulará para presidente en 2028 este año?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.