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Politics·Primaries

Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Jerri Green 89%

Carnita Atwater 7%

Adam Kurtz 2.7%

Tim Cyr <1%

Polymarket

$48,871 Vol.

Jerri Green 89%

Carnita Atwater 7%

Adam Kurtz 2.7%

Tim Cyr <1%

Polymarket

$48,871 Vol.

Jerri Green

$29,142 Vol.

89%

Carnita Atwater

$2,424 Vol.

7%

Adam Kurtz

$5,028 Vol.

3%

Tim Cyr

$12,276 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jerri Green leads trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability for the Tennessee Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 6, driven by her unique elected experience as Memphis City Councilwoman and recent campaign momentum, including a new round of statewide stops announced last week and endorsements from the Tennessee Women's Political Caucus, Nashville Councilwoman Brenda Gadd on April 16, and progressive group Future901. With candidate petitions finalized March 11 amid a fragmented field of five, Green's active fundraising and visibility contrast limited activity from challengers Carnita Atwater, Tim Cyr, and Adam Kurtz, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in this low-turnout contest despite no public polling. Late scandals or a high-profile rival surge could shift odds before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$48,871
End Date
Aug 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jerri Green leads trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability for the Tennessee Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 6, driven by her unique elected experience as Memphis City Councilwoman and recent campaign momentum, including a new round of statewide stops announced last week and endorsements from the Tennessee Women's Political Caucus, Nashville Councilwoman Brenda Gadd on April 16, and progressive group Future901. With candidate petitions finalized March 11 amid a fragmented field of five, Green's active fundraising and visibility contrast limited activity from challengers Carnita Atwater, Tim Cyr, and Adam Kurtz, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in this low-turnout contest despite no public polling. Late scandals or a high-profile rival surge could shift odds before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$48,871
End Date
Aug 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jerri Green" at 89%, followed by "Carnita Atwater" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $48.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Jerri Green" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carnita Atwater" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.