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Finance·IPO

SpaceX IPO Date

icon for SpaceX IPO Date
Finance·IPO

SpaceX IPO Date

June 12 90%

June 30 or later 3.8%

June 15 1.4%

June 18 <1%

Polymarket

$32,815 Vol.

June 12 90%

June 30 or later 3.8%

June 15 1.4%

June 18 <1%

Polymarket

$32,815 Vol.

June 3

$1,577 Vol.

<1%

June 4

$1,299 Vol.

1%

June 5

$2,516 Vol.

<1%

June 8

$790 Vol.

1%

June 9

$932 Vol.

1%

June 10

$809 Vol.

<1%

June 11

$996 Vol.

<1%

June 12

$8,631 Vol.

90%

June 15

$1,879 Vol.

1%

June 16

$1,338 Vol.

<1%

June 17

$1,567 Vol.

<1%

June 18

$1,300 Vol.

1%

June 22

$1,900 Vol.

<1%

June 23

$447 Vol.

<1%

June 24

$895 Vol.

1%

June 25

$986 Vol.

<1%

June 26

$829 Vol.

1%

June 29

$946 Vol.

<1%

June 30 or later

$1,497 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, confirmed through its May 2026 SEC filing and subsequent pricing guidance, has driven the 89.5% implied probability for a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX. Recent reports indicate the company plans to price shares at $135, targeting a record $75 billion raise and roughly $1.77 trillion valuation, following a confidential April filing and roadshow launch around June 8. This positions the June 12 outcome as the clear consensus among traders, reflecting the compressed schedule after faster-than-expected regulatory progress. Key catalysts ahead include final pricing on June 11 and any last-minute adjustments to share allocation or market conditions that could influence the exact trading start.

This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,815
End Date
Jun 29, 2026
Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, confirmed through its May 2026 SEC filing and subsequent pricing guidance, has driven the 89.5% implied probability for a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX. Recent reports indicate the company plans to price shares at $135, targeting a record $75 billion raise and roughly $1.77 trillion valuation, following a confidential April filing and roadshow launch around June 8. This positions the June 12 outcome as the clear consensus among traders, reflecting the compressed schedule after faster-than-expected regulatory progress. Key catalysts ahead include final pricing on June 11 and any last-minute adjustments to share allocation or market conditions that could influence the exact trading start.

This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,815
End Date
Jun 29, 2026
Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX IPO Date" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 12" at 90%, followed by "June 30 or later" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX IPO Date" has generated $32.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO Date," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX IPO Date" is "June 12" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30 or later" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO Date" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.