This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with its S-1 prospectus filed publicly on May 20 after a confidential April submission and a roadshow now underway, sets the primary driver for trader sentiment around its debut market capitalization. Targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation through a $75 billion raise at $135 per share and a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX on June 12, the company benefits from its February merger with xAI that established a combined $1.25 trillion base. Traders are weighing strong institutional demand, a $28.5 trillion addressable market spanning Starlink connectivity and Starship ambitions, and historical precedent for large tech listings against risks of first-day volatility or pricing adjustments. The June 11 pricing decision and any last-minute regulatory or market shifts remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with its S-1 prospectus filed publicly on May 20 after a confidential April submission and a roadshow now underway, sets the primary driver for trader sentiment around its debut market capitalization. Targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation through a $75 billion raise at $135 per share and a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX on June 12, the company benefits from its February merger with xAI that established a combined $1.25 trillion base. Traders are weighing strong institutional demand, a $28.5 trillion addressable market spanning Starlink connectivity and Starship ambitions, and historical precedent for large tech listings against risks of first-day volatility or pricing adjustments. The June 11 pricing decision and any last-minute regulatory or market shifts remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Jun 4 2026
SpaceX IPO roadshow begins, retail investors gain access via Fidelity
>$2.2T jumps to 99%5%
SpaceX launched its IPO roadshow and opened share access to retail investors with low account minimums, increasing demand and market confidence ahead of the June 12 Nasdaq listing.
Jun 4 2026
Market prices SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1 trillion with high confidence
>$1T rises to 94%1%
Prediction markets show a 93.5% probability that SpaceX's IPO closing market cap will exceed $1 trillion, reflecting strong market consensus on the IPO's success and valuation, driven by the company's financial disclosures and IPO pricing.
Jun 3 2026
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $1.77 trillion valuation
>$2T jumps to 92%13%
Ahead of its investor roadshow, SpaceX fixed its IPO price at $135 per share to raise $75 billion, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. This pricing confirmed the market's valuation expectations and IPO schedule.
Jun 3 2026
SpaceX Plans to Fix IPO Price at $135 Per Share
In an unusual move, SpaceX announced plans to set a fixed IPO price of $135 per share, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion ahead of its roadshow.
Jun 3 2026
SpaceX Sets Fixed IPO Price at $135 Per Share to Raise $75 Billion
>$2.4T dips to 42%2%
In an unusual pre-roadshow move, SpaceX announced plans to fix its IPO price at $135 per share, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion.
Jun 2 2026
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $1.77 trillion valuation
>$2T jumps to 94%6%
Ahead of its investor roadshow, SpaceX fixed its IPO price at $135 per share to raise $75 billion, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion, the largest IPO ever, reinforcing market optimism and pushing valuation probabilities higher.
Jun 2 2026
SpaceX Targets $1.75 Trillion Valuation in All-Primary Offering
Sources revealed that SpaceX is targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation for its upcoming IPO, structured entirely as an all-primary offering.
Jun 2 2026
Reuters reports SpaceX targets $1.75 trillion valuation in all-primary IPO
>$1.8T surges to 85%15%
Reuters reported that SpaceX plans an all-primary IPO to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, with no existing shareholders selling shares. This news reinforced the market's high valuation expectations and IPO timing.
Jun 2 2026
SpaceX Targets $1.75 Trillion Valuation in All-Primary IPO Structure
>$2T jumps to 82%10%
Sources revealed that SpaceX plans to target a $1.75 trillion valuation in an all-primary offering, meaning all proceeds will go directly to the company.
May 20 2026
SpaceX Publicly Files Form S-1 for Nasdaq IPO Under Ticker SPCX
>$1.6T rises to 96%4%
SpaceX transitioned its IPO process to the public regulatory stage by filing its Form S-1 with the SEC, revealing financial details including $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue.
May 20 2026
SpaceX Publicly Files S-1 Prospectus for Blockbuster Nasdaq IPO
SpaceX officially unveiled its public S-1 filing, revealing financial details including $18.67 billion in 2025 revenue and its strategic focus on AI integration.
May 20 2026
SpaceX publicly files S-1 prospectus for June IPO
>$1.6T jumps to 82%14%
SpaceX publicly filed its S-1 prospectus with the SEC, confirming plans for a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX targeted for June 12, 2026. The prospectus detailed $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue and outlined growth plans, reinforcing the $1.75 trillion valuation target.
The IPO prospectus was filed publicly, outlining $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue and ambitious growth plans. This disclosure reinforced market optimism, pushing prediction market prices for valuations above $1.6 trillion and $1.75 trillion higher.
SpaceX made its S-1 filing public, detailing $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue and plans for a $1.75 trillion IPO valuation. This filing provided detailed financials and solidified market expectations for a record-breaking IPO.
May 19 2026
SpaceX reveals Bitcoin holdings of 18,712 BTC in IPO filing
>$1.6T rises to 81%4%
SpaceX disclosed holding 18,712 bitcoins valued at approximately $637 million in its IPO filing, providing investors insight into its non-traditional assets and financial strategy, which influenced market valuation perceptions.
On-chain derivatives platform Trade.xyz launched synthetic perpetual trading for SpaceX, allowing retail traders to speculate on its valuation prior to the official listing.
May 18 2026
SpaceX prepares IPO prospectus release and investor roadshow
>$1.6T rises to 77%3%
Industry rumors indicated SpaceX would publish its IPO prospectus imminently and start investor roadshows in early June, coinciding with Starship launch milestones. This fueled market anticipation and price volatility in the closing market cap predictions.
May 18 2026
Hyperliquid Launches Synthetic Pre-IPO Perpetual Futures for SpaceX
>$2.2T jumps to 61%7%
Trade.xyz launched the SPCX-USDC synthetic perpetual contract on Hyperliquid, allowing retail traders to speculate on SpaceX's valuation prior to the official Nasdaq listing.
May 15 2026
SpaceX accelerates IPO timeline targeting June 12 Nasdaq listing
>$1.6T surges to 74%26%
Reports confirmed SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline with a Nasdaq debut planned for June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX, aiming to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. This accelerated schedule increased market confidence in the IPO's near-term execution.
May 15 2026
SpaceX Confirms 5-for-1 Stock Split Ahead of IPO
SpaceX approved a 5-for-1 stock split, reducing its share price from $526 to $105 to make shares more accessible to retail investors.
May 15 2026
SpaceX Approves 5-for-1 Stock Split Ahead of Accelerated IPO Timeline
>$1.2T rises to 95%3%
SpaceX confirmed a board-approved 5-for-1 stock split, reducing the share price from $526 to $105 to make the upcoming IPO more accessible to retail investors.
May 14 2026
Cerebras Soars 68% in Nasdaq Debut Boosting AI IPO Sentiment
AI chipmaker Cerebras surged in its public debut, closing with a market cap of $95 billion and fueling investor excitement for upcoming tech and AI-related IPOs like SpaceX.
Apr 1 2026
SpaceX submits confidential draft registration statement to SEC for IPO
>$1.6T surges to 49%25%
SpaceX filed its confidential draft registration statement with the SEC, confirming plans for a June 2026 Nasdaq IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a $75 billion capital raise. This filing significantly increased market confidence in the IPO's timing and valuation.
Apr 1 2026
SpaceX Files Confidential IPO with SEC Targeting $1.75 Trillion Valuation
>$1.8T jumps to 27%11%
SpaceX submitted confidential draft registration documents to the SEC, aiming for a historic June listing with a target valuation of $1.75 trillion and a capital raise of up to $75 billion.
Apr 1 2026
SpaceX confidentially files draft registration statement with SEC
>$1.6T surges to 53%30%
SpaceX submitted its confidential draft registration statement to the SEC, confirming plans for a June 2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation. This official filing significantly increased market confidence in the IPO timeline and valuation.
SpaceX confidentially filed for an Initial Public Offering with the SEC, targeting a valuation of $1.75 trillion and aiming for a June listing.
Apr 1 2026
SpaceX confidentially files for IPO targeting $1.75 trillion valuation
>$1.6T jumps to 62%14%
SpaceX submitted a confidential IPO filing to the SEC, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a $50–75 billion raise, marking the largest public listing in history and significantly boosting market confidence.
Feb 2 2026
SpaceX merges with xAI, boosting combined valuation to $1.25 trillion
>$1.2T jumps to 58%6%
SpaceX's merger with Elon Musk's AI company xAI increased the combined valuation to $1.25 trillion, enhancing the growth narrative and investor expectations ahead of the IPO.
Feb 2 2026
SpaceX merges with xAI, combined valuation reaches $1.25 trillion
>$1.2T jumps to 66%14%
SpaceX merged with Elon Musk's AI startup xAI, creating a combined entity valued at approximately $1.25 trillion. This merger expanded the company's business scope and significantly increased its valuation ahead of the IPO.
Jan 28 2026
Reports emerge of SpaceX targeting $1.5 trillion valuation for June 2026 IPO
>$1.4T surges to 52%22%
Financial Times and other outlets reported SpaceX's plans for a June 2026 IPO with a $1.5 trillion valuation target, raising expectations for a record-breaking public offering and influencing market pricing upward.
Jan 28 2026
Financial Times reports SpaceX eyes June 2026 IPO at $1.5 trillion valuation
>$1.4T jumps to 46%9%
The Financial Times reported that SpaceX is targeting a June 2026 IPO with a valuation of about $1.5 trillion, reinforcing market expectations for a large and high-value offering.
Dec 13 2025
SpaceX sets $800 billion valuation in insider share sale ahead of IPO plans
>$1T jumps to 57%12%
SpaceX conducted an insider share sale valuing the company at about $800 billion, signaling strong private market interest and setting the stage for a potential 2026 IPO. This valuation milestone increased market expectations for a large public offering.
Dec 13 2025
SpaceX internal tender offer values company at $800 billion
>$1T jumps to 57%12%
SpaceX approved an internal tender offer allowing investors to buy shares at $421 each, valuing the company at approximately $800 billion. This event set a new private market valuation floor and increased market expectations for a 2026 IPO.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with its S-1 prospectus filed publicly on May 20 after a confidential April submission and a roadshow now underway, sets the primary driver for trader sentiment around its debut market capitalization. Targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation through a $75 billion raise at $135 per share and a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX on June 12, the company benefits from its February merger with xAI that established a combined $1.25 trillion base. Traders are weighing strong institutional demand, a $28.5 trillion addressable market spanning Starlink connectivity and Starship ambitions, and historical precedent for large tech listings against risks of first-day volatility or pricing adjustments. The June 11 pricing decision and any last-minute regulatory or market shifts remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with its S-1 prospectus filed publicly on May 20 after a confidential April submission and a roadshow now underway, sets the primary driver for trader sentiment around its debut market capitalization. Targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation through a $75 billion raise at $135 per share and a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX on June 12, the company benefits from its February merger with xAI that established a combined $1.25 trillion base. Traders are weighing strong institutional demand, a $28.5 trillion addressable market spanning Starlink connectivity and Starship ambitions, and historical precedent for large tech listings against risks of first-day volatility or pricing adjustments. The June 11 pricing decision and any last-minute regulatory or market shifts remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Jun 4 2026
SpaceX IPO roadshow begins, retail investors gain access via Fidelity
>$2.2T jumps to 99%5%
SpaceX launched its IPO roadshow and opened share access to retail investors with low account minimums, increasing demand and market confidence ahead of the June 12 Nasdaq listing.
Jun 4 2026
Market prices SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1 trillion with high confidence
>$1T rises to 94%1%
Prediction markets show a 93.5% probability that SpaceX's IPO closing market cap will exceed $1 trillion, reflecting strong market consensus on the IPO's success and valuation, driven by the company's financial disclosures and IPO pricing.
Jun 3 2026
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $1.77 trillion valuation
>$2T jumps to 92%13%
Ahead of its investor roadshow, SpaceX fixed its IPO price at $135 per share to raise $75 billion, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. This pricing confirmed the market's valuation expectations and IPO schedule.
Jun 3 2026
SpaceX Plans to Fix IPO Price at $135 Per Share
In an unusual move, SpaceX announced plans to set a fixed IPO price of $135 per share, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion ahead of its roadshow.
Jun 3 2026
SpaceX Sets Fixed IPO Price at $135 Per Share to Raise $75 Billion
>$2.4T dips to 42%2%
In an unusual pre-roadshow move, SpaceX announced plans to fix its IPO price at $135 per share, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion.
Jun 2 2026
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $1.77 trillion valuation
>$2T jumps to 94%6%
Ahead of its investor roadshow, SpaceX fixed its IPO price at $135 per share to raise $75 billion, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion, the largest IPO ever, reinforcing market optimism and pushing valuation probabilities higher.
Jun 2 2026
SpaceX Targets $1.75 Trillion Valuation in All-Primary Offering
Sources revealed that SpaceX is targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation for its upcoming IPO, structured entirely as an all-primary offering.
Jun 2 2026
Reuters reports SpaceX targets $1.75 trillion valuation in all-primary IPO
>$1.8T surges to 85%15%
Reuters reported that SpaceX plans an all-primary IPO to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, with no existing shareholders selling shares. This news reinforced the market's high valuation expectations and IPO timing.
Jun 2 2026
SpaceX Targets $1.75 Trillion Valuation in All-Primary IPO Structure
>$2T jumps to 82%10%
Sources revealed that SpaceX plans to target a $1.75 trillion valuation in an all-primary offering, meaning all proceeds will go directly to the company.
May 20 2026
SpaceX Publicly Files Form S-1 for Nasdaq IPO Under Ticker SPCX
>$1.6T rises to 96%4%
SpaceX transitioned its IPO process to the public regulatory stage by filing its Form S-1 with the SEC, revealing financial details including $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue.
May 20 2026
SpaceX Publicly Files S-1 Prospectus for Blockbuster Nasdaq IPO
SpaceX officially unveiled its public S-1 filing, revealing financial details including $18.67 billion in 2025 revenue and its strategic focus on AI integration.
May 20 2026
SpaceX publicly files S-1 prospectus for June IPO
>$1.6T jumps to 82%14%
SpaceX publicly filed its S-1 prospectus with the SEC, confirming plans for a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX targeted for June 12, 2026. The prospectus detailed $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue and outlined growth plans, reinforcing the $1.75 trillion valuation target.
The IPO prospectus was filed publicly, outlining $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue and ambitious growth plans. This disclosure reinforced market optimism, pushing prediction market prices for valuations above $1.6 trillion and $1.75 trillion higher.
SpaceX made its S-1 filing public, detailing $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue and plans for a $1.75 trillion IPO valuation. This filing provided detailed financials and solidified market expectations for a record-breaking IPO.
May 19 2026
SpaceX reveals Bitcoin holdings of 18,712 BTC in IPO filing
>$1.6T rises to 81%4%
SpaceX disclosed holding 18,712 bitcoins valued at approximately $637 million in its IPO filing, providing investors insight into its non-traditional assets and financial strategy, which influenced market valuation perceptions.
On-chain derivatives platform Trade.xyz launched synthetic perpetual trading for SpaceX, allowing retail traders to speculate on its valuation prior to the official listing.
May 18 2026
SpaceX prepares IPO prospectus release and investor roadshow
>$1.6T rises to 77%3%
Industry rumors indicated SpaceX would publish its IPO prospectus imminently and start investor roadshows in early June, coinciding with Starship launch milestones. This fueled market anticipation and price volatility in the closing market cap predictions.
May 18 2026
Hyperliquid Launches Synthetic Pre-IPO Perpetual Futures for SpaceX
>$2.2T jumps to 61%7%
Trade.xyz launched the SPCX-USDC synthetic perpetual contract on Hyperliquid, allowing retail traders to speculate on SpaceX's valuation prior to the official Nasdaq listing.
May 15 2026
SpaceX accelerates IPO timeline targeting June 12 Nasdaq listing
>$1.6T surges to 74%26%
Reports confirmed SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline with a Nasdaq debut planned for June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX, aiming to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. This accelerated schedule increased market confidence in the IPO's near-term execution.
May 15 2026
SpaceX Confirms 5-for-1 Stock Split Ahead of IPO
SpaceX approved a 5-for-1 stock split, reducing its share price from $526 to $105 to make shares more accessible to retail investors.
May 15 2026
SpaceX Approves 5-for-1 Stock Split Ahead of Accelerated IPO Timeline
>$1.2T rises to 95%3%
SpaceX confirmed a board-approved 5-for-1 stock split, reducing the share price from $526 to $105 to make the upcoming IPO more accessible to retail investors.
May 14 2026
Cerebras Soars 68% in Nasdaq Debut Boosting AI IPO Sentiment
AI chipmaker Cerebras surged in its public debut, closing with a market cap of $95 billion and fueling investor excitement for upcoming tech and AI-related IPOs like SpaceX.
Apr 1 2026
SpaceX submits confidential draft registration statement to SEC for IPO
>$1.6T surges to 49%25%
SpaceX filed its confidential draft registration statement with the SEC, confirming plans for a June 2026 Nasdaq IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a $75 billion capital raise. This filing significantly increased market confidence in the IPO's timing and valuation.
Apr 1 2026
SpaceX Files Confidential IPO with SEC Targeting $1.75 Trillion Valuation
>$1.8T jumps to 27%11%
SpaceX submitted confidential draft registration documents to the SEC, aiming for a historic June listing with a target valuation of $1.75 trillion and a capital raise of up to $75 billion.
Apr 1 2026
SpaceX confidentially files draft registration statement with SEC
>$1.6T surges to 53%30%
SpaceX submitted its confidential draft registration statement to the SEC, confirming plans for a June 2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation. This official filing significantly increased market confidence in the IPO timeline and valuation.
SpaceX confidentially filed for an Initial Public Offering with the SEC, targeting a valuation of $1.75 trillion and aiming for a June listing.
Apr 1 2026
SpaceX confidentially files for IPO targeting $1.75 trillion valuation
>$1.6T jumps to 62%14%
SpaceX submitted a confidential IPO filing to the SEC, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a $50–75 billion raise, marking the largest public listing in history and significantly boosting market confidence.
Feb 2 2026
SpaceX merges with xAI, boosting combined valuation to $1.25 trillion
>$1.2T jumps to 58%6%
SpaceX's merger with Elon Musk's AI company xAI increased the combined valuation to $1.25 trillion, enhancing the growth narrative and investor expectations ahead of the IPO.
Feb 2 2026
SpaceX merges with xAI, combined valuation reaches $1.25 trillion
>$1.2T jumps to 66%14%
SpaceX merged with Elon Musk's AI startup xAI, creating a combined entity valued at approximately $1.25 trillion. This merger expanded the company's business scope and significantly increased its valuation ahead of the IPO.
Jan 28 2026
Reports emerge of SpaceX targeting $1.5 trillion valuation for June 2026 IPO
>$1.4T surges to 52%22%
Financial Times and other outlets reported SpaceX's plans for a June 2026 IPO with a $1.5 trillion valuation target, raising expectations for a record-breaking public offering and influencing market pricing upward.
Jan 28 2026
Financial Times reports SpaceX eyes June 2026 IPO at $1.5 trillion valuation
>$1.4T jumps to 46%9%
The Financial Times reported that SpaceX is targeting a June 2026 IPO with a valuation of about $1.5 trillion, reinforcing market expectations for a large and high-value offering.
Dec 13 2025
SpaceX sets $800 billion valuation in insider share sale ahead of IPO plans
>$1T jumps to 57%12%
SpaceX conducted an insider share sale valuing the company at about $800 billion, signaling strong private market interest and setting the stage for a potential 2026 IPO. This valuation milestone increased market expectations for a large public offering.
Dec 13 2025
SpaceX internal tender offer values company at $800 billion
>$1T jumps to 57%12%
SpaceX approved an internal tender offer allowing investors to buy shares at $421 each, valuing the company at approximately $800 billion. This event set a new private market valuation floor and increased market expectations for a 2026 IPO.
"SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">$1T" at 99%, followed by ">$1.2T" at 98%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" has generated $6.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" is ">$1T" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">$1.2T" at 98%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $6.1 million traded on “SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.
On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 99¢ for ">$1T" in the "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 99% chance that ">$1T" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 99¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 1¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Dec 31, 2027 — that's roughly over 1 year away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.
The "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" market has an active community of 65 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.
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