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What will Apple announce at Apple WWDC 2026?

icon for What will Apple announce at Apple WWDC 2026?

What will Apple announce at Apple WWDC 2026?

NEW
Jun 8, 2026
Polymarket

$125 Vol.

Polymarket

Touchscreen MacBook

$0 Vol.

52%

All Six OS 27 Versions

$0 Vol.

50%

HomePod Mini Successor

$0 Vol.

50%

New Product Line

$0 Vol.

50%

Apple Smart Home Display

$0 Vol.

50%

Foldable iPhone

$5 Vol.

50%

iPhone 18

$55 Vol.

47%

AI-Charged Siri

$60 Vol.

53%

Standalone Siri App

$5 Vol.

61%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying announcement of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded as a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified software becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify next-generation versions of all six of Apple’s major operating systems: iOS, iPadOS, macOS, watchOS, tvOS, and visionOS. Equivalent successor designations will qualify, but announcements covering fewer than all six operating systems will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying product must be named "HomePod mini" and be recognized as a successor to the original HomePod mini product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new HomePod mini product released without a number, under a designation other than HomePod mini 2, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the HomePod mini and expands on them in a way that makes it clear this product is a successor. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods model would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying Apple Smart Home Display must be an Apple-branded hardware product with a built-in display primarily designed for smart home control, home automation, Siri interaction, or use as a home hub. A redesigned Home app, HomeKit update, Apple TV, HomePod without a display, iPad mode, or third-party smart display will not qualify unless Apple clearly presents it as a distinct smart home display product. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in a way that makes it clear this product is a successor. Products named iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone Air, or similar variants will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying announcement must state that Siri will receive new AI-powered capabilities beyond those publicly available before the WWDC 2026 keynote. Existing Siri features, minor design changes, performance improvements, or backend upgrades will not qualify unless Apple presents them as a new or materially upgraded AI-enhanced Siri experience. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying announcement must state that Apple will release a standalone Siri app. Siri features embedded within existing apps, system settings, or the existing Siri interface will not qualify unless Apple presents them as a distinct Siri app. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified software becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify next-generation versions of all six of Apple’s major operating systems: iOS, iPadOS, macOS, watchOS, tvOS, and visionOS. Equivalent successor designations will qualify, but announcements covering fewer than all six operating systems will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$125
End Date
Jun 8, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified software becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify next-generation versions of all six of Apple’s major operating systems: iOS, iPadOS, macOS, watchOS, tvOS, and visionOS. Equivalent successor designations will qualify, but announcements covering fewer than all six operating systems will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying announcement of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded as a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified software becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify next-generation versions of all six of Apple’s major operating systems: iOS, iPadOS, macOS, watchOS, tvOS, and visionOS. Equivalent successor designations will qualify, but announcements covering fewer than all six operating systems will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying product must be named "HomePod mini" and be recognized as a successor to the original HomePod mini product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new HomePod mini product released without a number, under a designation other than HomePod mini 2, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the HomePod mini and expands on them in a way that makes it clear this product is a successor. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods model would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying Apple Smart Home Display must be an Apple-branded hardware product with a built-in display primarily designed for smart home control, home automation, Siri interaction, or use as a home hub. A redesigned Home app, HomeKit update, Apple TV, HomePod without a display, iPad mode, or third-party smart display will not qualify unless Apple clearly presents it as a distinct smart home display product. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in a way that makes it clear this product is a successor. Products named iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone Air, or similar variants will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying announcement must state that Siri will receive new AI-powered capabilities beyond those publicly available before the WWDC 2026 keynote. Existing Siri features, minor design changes, performance improvements, or backend upgrades will not qualify unless Apple presents them as a new or materially upgraded AI-enhanced Siri experience. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying announcement must state that Apple will release a standalone Siri app. Siri features embedded within existing apps, system settings, or the existing Siri interface will not qualify unless Apple presents them as a distinct Siri app. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified software becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify next-generation versions of all six of Apple’s major operating systems: iOS, iPadOS, macOS, watchOS, tvOS, and visionOS. Equivalent successor designations will qualify, but announcements covering fewer than all six operating systems will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$125
End Date
Jun 8, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release the listed product or software during the WWDC 2026 keynote currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on June 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified software becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the WWDC 2026 keynote will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify next-generation versions of all six of Apple’s major operating systems: iOS, iPadOS, macOS, watchOS, tvOS, and visionOS. Equivalent successor designations will qualify, but announcements covering fewer than all six operating systems will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Apple announce at Apple WWDC 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Standalone Siri App" at 61%, followed by "AI-Charged Siri" at 53%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will Apple announce at Apple WWDC 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will Apple announce at Apple WWDC 2026?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Apple announce at Apple WWDC 2026?" is "Standalone Siri App" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "AI-Charged Siri" at 53%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Apple announce at Apple WWDC 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.