Trader consensus favors Pete Hegseth remaining Secretary of Defense through December 31 at 59%, reflecting his entrenched position despite intensifying scrutiny over recent Pentagon leadership purges. In the past week, Hegseth faced sharp bipartisan questioning in House Armed Services Committee hearings on April 29, defending dismissals of Army Chief of Staff Randy George, Navy Secretary John Phelan, and other top generals amid the ongoing Iran conflict, while pitching a $1.5 trillion fiscal 2027 defense budget request. Democratic impeachment articles filed in mid-April have stalled without Republican Senate support, where his January 2025 confirmation passed 51-50 via Vice President Vance's tiebreaker. Absent presidential intervention or escalating scandals, traders see limited ouster risk before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$206,267 Vol.
$206,267 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$206,267 Vol.
$206,267 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Pete Hegseth remaining Secretary of Defense through December 31 at 59%, reflecting his entrenched position despite intensifying scrutiny over recent Pentagon leadership purges. In the past week, Hegseth faced sharp bipartisan questioning in House Armed Services Committee hearings on April 29, defending dismissals of Army Chief of Staff Randy George, Navy Secretary John Phelan, and other top generals amid the ongoing Iran conflict, while pitching a $1.5 trillion fiscal 2027 defense budget request. Democratic impeachment articles filed in mid-April have stalled without Republican Senate support, where his January 2025 confirmation passed 51-50 via Vice President Vance's tiebreaker. Absent presidential intervention or escalating scandals, traders see limited ouster risk before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
Volume
$206,267End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Pete Hegseth remaining Secretary of Defense through December 31 at 59%, reflecting his entrenched position despite intensifying scrutiny over recent Pentagon leadership purges. In the past week, Hegseth faced sharp bipartisan questioning in House Armed Services Committee hearings on April 29, defending dismissals of Army Chief of Staff Randy George, Navy Secretary John Phelan, and other top generals amid the ongoing Iran conflict, while pitching a $1.5 trillion fiscal 2027 defense budget request. Democratic impeachment articles filed in mid-April have stalled without Republican Senate support, where his January 2025 confirmation passed 51-50 via Vice President Vance's tiebreaker. Absent presidential intervention or escalating scandals, traders see limited ouster risk before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$206,267End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors Pete Hegseth remaining Secretary of Defense through December 31 at 59%, reflecting his entrenched position despite intensifying scrutiny over recent Pentagon leadership purges. In the past week, Hegseth faced sharp bipartisan questioning in House Armed Services Committee hearings on April 29, defending dismissals of Army Chief of Staff Randy George, Navy Secretary John Phelan, and other top generals amid the ongoing Iran conflict, while pitching a $1.5 trillion fiscal 2027 defense budget request. Democratic impeachment articles filed in mid-April have stalled without Republican Senate support, where his January 2025 confirmation passed 51-50 via Vice President Vance's tiebreaker. Absent presidential intervention or escalating scandals, traders see limited ouster risk before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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